Betting on the Tour de France

Betting on cycling is never easy. To many possible winners, always a chance of bad luck, etc.... If you compare this variables with the odds you are most are mostly to low for a good value bet.
Therefor it is utmost important to compare the odds of some different bookies.

Why? Cause there can be big differences in these odds.
Let's take a look. I will compare some odds of 2 of the most known and respected bookies used in Belgium. The one is Unibet, the other is Bwin.

First let's take a look on the odds for the green jersey.
The odds @ unibet are the following:
Freire -> 3.00
Hushovd -> 3.75
McEwen -> 5.00

While Bwin does offer the following odds:
Hushovd -> 3.00
Freire -> 3.50
McEwen -> 6.00
So if you fancy a bet on Freire or McEwen you should put place your bet via Bwin, if on the other hand you have a strong believe in Hushovd, Unibet is the place to be.

No differences for the polka dot jersey, both bookies are offering these odds:
Soler -> 3.25
Moreau -> 8.00
Sanchez Samuel -> 9.00

For the creme the la creme of the betting for the tour, the yellow jersey.
Both bookies have to same 3 riders on 1,2 and 3. Both place Evans on the first place with a 3.25 to 1 odd. But there suddenly there are major differences. And again they put the same rider in second place, only this time you get a slightly better value for Valverde at Unibet, where the odd if 5 to 1, while at Bwin the odd is only 4.50 to 1. Menchov is third at both bookies but this time the odds at bwin (8.50 to 1) is better than at unibet (8 to 1).
The odds for the same 3 riders to end on the podium are better at bwin.

Now these differences looks like peanuts if you are playing like me with 1 EURO bets, but if you are a big gambler these differences can mean a big difference.

Suppose that my bets would be as followed:
Yellow Jersey: Valverde
Polka Dot Jersey: Moreau
Green Jersey: McEwen

If I would place all three bets at Unibet my possible pay-out could be: 3.25 + 8 + 5 = 16.25
The same bet at bwin would pay-out if won: 3.25 + 8 + 6 = 17.25
Only a difference of 1 Euro, but this means a free bet for me.

You can take if even one step further and make combos of this bet and then suddenly the differences are immense (if you compare this with the ante).
Combo @ Unibet: 130 EUR for a 1 EUR bet.
Combo @ Bwin: 156 EUR for a 1 EUR bet.

Good luck,
Dremeber

weekend bets

No fancy combos for this weekend.
First let me answer a question from the comment box. For one reason or the other I have a strong believe that Koeznetsova will win Wimbledon at the ladies tournament and the sportsbook gives a nice odd for a win of her (18 to 1). Unfortunately my sportsbook does not offer a win bet for the mens tournament, which is rather strange. Bet if I could place a bet there, I would put my money on Federer with Djokovic out of the way and Nadal who will net reach the second round. So my bet. I hope that Kiefer will win which could give me a profit of 6.5EUR.
Also did put a EURO on Mathieu for his match against Cilic.

Tomorrow we will know the new EC. My money, ok money is a strange word if u only play bets of 1 EUR, is on Germany. While Spain is the more deserved finalist, Germany stays Germany. Besides this the odds for Germany are 2 good to ignore.

BR after these bets: 15 EUR, still a profit of 5 EUR.
Good luck,
Dremeber

Wimbledon and EC 2008 bets

Today I made an incredible profit of 0.20 EUR. Better then a loss I guess.
For tomorrow only one tennis combo, mainly cause the womens odds where not available at the moment. Also 2 EC 2008 bets. 1 EUR on Germany, who should easily defeat the Turks, and another EURO at the correct score of 4-0 for Germany.


Current BR @ the moment: 17.21 EUR.

Good luck,
Dremeber

Wimbledon bets 24-6

Wimbledon started today. So the focus will change to there. Made some wrong bets during the last euro 2008 games so time for some quick wins.

The beginning of a Grand Slam always offers some great opportunities. I tried to get some maximum value with a minimal risk. At least thats the game plan. We will see how it turns out.
The problem with the early rounds is that there no money can be earned with the favorites. Betting on the outsiders on the other side can be to dangerous. So I my bets are on players, which aren't favorites not outsides but ones which should be capable of easily making it to the second round.

Here are my bets. Like always I tried to find 2 combos, where it is sufficient to win of the two to make a profit. I also changed the language of my bookie to English, which should make it easier for most of u to understand.



The answer on the question what my success rate is, is simple. I have no idea! With tennis it will be around 65%, Football is another story. This has to do with the fact that I don't only play single games or combos but also fancy bets on correct scores, which makes it much harder to get a good success rate. On the other hand 1 out of 6 or 7 correct bets is good enough to make a profit.
Unfortunately I also don't have any ROI figures, which probably would give a better insight. I don't want to put effort in stats like that. I tried it before but I always stop after some time with updating these records.

Good luck,
Dremeber

EC 2008: Bets 19-9

Hi all,

Without this words this time! A picture says more than a thousand words!


Good luck,
Dremeber