Weekend 1-3/12/2006

The last month of the year.


3 games for this Friday special. I consider this combination pretty save but I cannot blame you if your trust in my predictions has decreased.
Beveren(14) - Anderlecht(2) (6.00, 3.40, 1.60) (2/2/7)
It is more than 4 years ago that Anderlecht lost in Beveren. If Anderlecht wins it will put all the pressure on KRC Genk. After a scoreless draw in Standard and a 2-1 defeat within Gent, it is time for Anderlecht to start colleting points away from home again. Beveren will be the sitting duck this evening.
Mainz o5(18) - Vfb Stuttgart (3) (3.65, 3.30, 2.00) (0/0/2)
Mainz does not have enough quality for the Bundesliga. The team of Stuttgart seems well balanced. After Werder Bremen Stuttgart has the second best offense of the league (27 goals). The defense of Mainz is one of the lesser ones of the league (25 goals against).

This combination pays-out: 3.20€. I consider this easy money.

My other bets for this weekend. Because I will try to pick "easier" games with lower odds, my combos will consist of more games. Let's see if this tactic works.


Cercle Brugge(15) - GBA(8) (2.35, 3.25, 2.85) (3/0/0)
Playing at Cercle is never fun. A giant stadium (shared with Club Brugge) with only 5 to 7 thousiand supporters. Both teams are not in their best form. GBA scored 6 points out of the last 6 games, while Cercle only gained 4 points. Cercle only lost 2 times at home this season, but after this weekend the counters will stand on 3. GBA always tries to play dominant football and they have the players to do this. They will win and Cavens will score his first goal of the season.
Lierse(18) - Club Brugge(3) (8.50, 4.40, 1.35) (2/5/5)
Clubg is out on revenge after again a missed chance in the Uefa Cup. Maybe they are not good enough for Europe but definitly strong enough for the Jupiler League. Last weekend was the first game for Rekdal as head coach from Lierse. While there seemed to be more swung in the team, they didn't manage to avoid a defeat. Normally Brugge may not have any problem at all in Lier.


Bochum(16) - Hamburger SV(17) (2.80, 3.30, 2.40) (2/4/2)
Hamburg again lost a player last week with a long term injury. And again it is a defender. I don't know how Doll arranges his trainings but there has to be something wrong. 80% of all injuries are muscle related. Still I think that they will have a good chance of winning in Bochum. The play of Hamburger SV is improving and the last two games they were capable of scoring again, which is a prerequisite for winning.


AZ(2) - Excelsior Rotterdam(10) (1.13, 6.50, 15.50) (1/0/0)
AZ is playing together with PSV the most beautiful football, which can be found in the Netherlands. Exclesior away is a drama, only one point. No, in my eyes they don't have any change in Alkmaar.
Ajax(3) - Willem II(15) (1.15, 6.00, 15.00) (12/1/0)
Ajax normally wins big at home against Willem II. But Ajax is trying to climb out of the form crisis where they are in now. From the last 5 games, they only were capable of one draw, all the other ones were lost. So, the home game against Willem II could not come at a better moment. This can be the morale booster which Ajax really needs.


Inter(1) - AC Siena(9) (1.23, 5.10, 16.00) (2/1/0)
Inter has this season an impressive home record. No game lost scored 14 times and only conceded 6 goals. Due to the affairs within the Italian Football there are relieved from the pressure from AC Milan and Juventus. Siena only scored 5 times away from home. I predict that Inter will score at least twice which will surely be enough for the victory.


Villareal(9) - Gimnastic(20) (1.45, 3.85, 8.00) (-/-/-)
Gimnastic clearly does not have enough potential to stay within the Primera Division. A goal difference of -15 and only 5 points from 12 games. Away they only scored 3 goals, but that was enough to return once with a victory. But this will not happen again this weekend. Villareal is not known for his home reputation, but winning this weekend should not be a problem.

This week I picked no games within the premier league. I don't have any confidence that I will predict a good one.

My combos:
Combo1: Inter, Ajax, Club Brugge -> Possible pay-out: 1.91€
Combo2: Villareal, AZ, Hamburger SV, GBA -> possible pay-out: 11.21€ (wouldn't this be nice)

Good luck,
European Sports Betting

Weekend 17-19/11/2006

With again renewed confidence I will post my bets for this weekend again. While my percentage for the single matches is not so bad, my combinations are. Let's see if we can change this this weekend.


Lierse SK - Germinal Beerschot (3.70, 3.30, 1.95) (7/9/2)
Don't let the h2h foul you. Lierse is currently last within the Jupiler League with only 2 points out of 12 games. In the beginning of this week Lierse fired their Coach Trost, who was probably the most motivated coach for the first division. GBA on the other hand is figthing back after a bad streak with as deepest point the elimination against KV Mechelen in the Cup. I strongly favour GBA.


Marseille(8) - Valenciennes(15) (1.45, 3.80, 8.00) (-)
Valenciennes lost their last 6 games away and were only capable of scoring 3 times in those 6 games. Marseille won 4 of their 6 home games, the only lost against Lyon (1) and Lorient (9), which were their last two home games. So they defenitly need to win this one and they will. They the stats in their favour.
Lens(3) - Nantes(18) (1.60, 3.40, 6.25) (4/4/5)
Very strange odds! Lens third in the competition pays-out 1.60 if they win against Nantes, which are 18th. Nantes did not win any away game this season and I don't see how they will win this one or even get a draw. The odds are probably so high because Nantes got 5 points out of their last 3 games. Neverless Lens will win easy in my opinion.


Empoli(8) - AC Milan(16) (6.00, 3.25, 1.67) (0,2,3)
While Empoli is playing a good season, I don't fancy their stats for home games. They won once, draw 3 times and lost once. Milan currently has 7 points after their punisment of 8 points. if AC Milan does not win, a crisis is the correct word for the team. But I don't see this happen.


Mainz 05(18) - Hamburger SV(15) (2.70, 3.25, 2.50) (1/0/1)
The number last against the number 15. Hamburger SV gave coach Doll credit until New Year. The caption Vander Vart indicated that the teams still have fait in Doll, Now it is time to prove it in this 6 points game. Mainz at home is dramatic this season, they lost their last 3 games.


Ajax(2) - FC Twente(4) (1.40, 4.00, 7.25) (11/2/0)
Ajax lost last week against PSV, while Twente won in against Groningen with 7(seven)-1. Twente will come tot he Arena with very high hopes on at least one point, while Ajax is motivated to erase the defeat against PSV. If this match is played 100 times, Ajax will win 65, 25 will end in a draw and in 10 games Twente will win. Good enough to place my bet on ajax.
NEC(13) - Sparta (17) (1.60, 3.50, 5.20) (3/4/2)
Sparta this year is not capable of playing away, from their 6 away games, they were only capable of one taking a point back to Rotterdam. Also they got 18 goals against and only scored 4 times. (An average of 3 goals per game, which makes it difficult to win or draw). Nec only won 2 games of their 6 home games and have a goal difference at home form 0 (5-5).


Chelsea(2) - West Ham(16) (1.20,5.60,16) (7/1/4)
Should be an easy victory for Chelsea, who won 5 out of their 6 last home games with a goal difference of =10. West Ham on the other side only got one point out of their 6 away games with a goal difference of -7. So an easy win for Chelsea in expected. Normally I would never have picked this game, but I have to make a winning combination.

My combinations for this weekend:
Combo 1: Lens , Ajax and Chelsea -> possible pay-out 2.68€
Combo 2: Nec, Marseille and GBA -> possible pay-out 4.52€
Combo 3: AC Milan and Hamburger SV -> possible pay-out 4.17€

Good luck and make the correct choices.
European Sports Betting
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