In the weekend of the 19th of August the Belgian Jupiler League will kick off again.
Let's see who are the favorites for taking the title, the relegation candidates and the European places.
The Jupiler League:
The competition is played with 18 teams and a home and away points. Besides the Champion and the cup winner only the number 2 and 3 will play in Europe next season.
The numbers 17 and 18 will directly relegate to the second Division (Exqui League from this season on).
Last season:
Surprisingly Standard Liege took the title last year. With Anderlecht on a second place and Club Brugge at third. The surprise of the season however was Cercle Brugge with a rookie coach and attractive football ending in spot number 4.
Fc Brussels and Sint Truiden relegated without a chance on another year in the Jupiler League.
The Championship candidates:
Standard Liege
I don't see how Standard Liege can prolong their title. Although (at the moment) no important player left the team, the coach did surprisingly.
The new coach is Lazlo Boloni. The have the advantage that the team is already played in but the big disadvantage that the will probably use another tactic.
Also a big disadvantage is that they probably will have a set back when the discovered that the CL is unreachable from them.
Anderlecht
For me personally the big favorite for next year. Their biggest loss is the move from Ahmed Hassan to Al Ahly but at the end of the seaon last year they played their best games without him. I think that the other players will be releaved a that new stars will step up the plate.
On the incomming side they did great things. Let me rephrase this to: they have bought players with great potential and these are proving them right during the friendly games.
They expect a lot from Mattias Suarez from Belgrano and Kanu from Barueri. But I think that the home crowd will quickly embrace Losada from GBA as their new favorite.
Club Brugge
After a disappointing season, which was saved by qualifying for Europe thx to the missteps of AA Gent and Cercle Brugge, they invested a lot in new players and released the weaker players of last season.
However when I look at their incoming transfers I don't see big names but with the budget available to them they bought in great. They expect that Akpala from Charlerloi will be the next topscores of the Jupiler League.
Their biggest advantage that they have above Anderlecht and Standard is their head coach. Maybe the best coach at the moment in Belgium with great tactical knowledge and the gift the keep all pressure away from the players.
The outsiders:
I see only one and that is Racing Genk. They have invested a lot. Not only in buying new players but also in extending the contracts of vital players. And after so many years of rumours they finally did buy Joao Carlos from Lokeren. On of the best, maybe the best central defender of the Jupiler League.
The odds for a 1 EURO bet:
To win the title Place 1-3
Anderlecht 1.70 1.12
Club Brugge 4.50 1.37
Standard Liege 5.00 1.42
Racing Genk 16.00 3.50
To relegate:
Tubize 1.75
Kortrijk 2.10
Dender FCV EH 3.25
I think that this will be the top 4:
1. Anderlecht
2. Club Brugge
3. Racing Genk
4. Standard Liege
So where will I put my money on:
1 EURO on Anderlecht to win the title
1 EURO on Racing Genk to end in the top 3.
1 Euro on Tubize to 1.75
Hope this helps,
Dremeber
Showing posts with label Anderlecht. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Anderlecht. Show all posts
Weekend 17&18 December
Finally I can announce that my previous blog post was for 100% correct.
Here we go again! As usual I will start of with my bets and my 3 combinations are placed at the bottom of the post.
Anderlecht(2) - Mons/Bergen(14) (Won)
Anderlecht is almost unbeatable at home within the Jupiler League, their only loss was against leader Genk. The away record from Bergen is not so impressive: 1 win, 2 draws and 5 losses. My money is on Anderlecht.
Cercle Brugge(17) - Club Brugge(3) (Lost)
Since Cercle has been promoted back to the Jupiler League they were not capable of winning against big brother Club. I don't think that this will change this Sunday. Normally Brugge is weaker away from home but they both play in the same stadion. Also a lot of players of Cercle are or injurid or suspended. Club Brugge is the one to bet on.
Mainz 05(18) - Bayern Munich(4) (Won)
Bayern cannot affort another misstep in the pursuit of the leaders of the Bundesliga. This should not be a problem against Mainz, who only won once at home this season. Also pretty nice odds for a win of Bayern.
Werder Bremen(1) - Wolfsburg(12) (Won)
Realatively high odds for the leader of the Bundesliga, certainly if you know that they are playing at home against Wolfsburg. A team who wants to win the Bundesliga cannot afford to loose points at home and I'm 90% sure that Bremen will send Wolfsburg back home without any point.
Charlton Athletic(19) - Liverpool(5) (Won)
While Liverpool has a lousy away record this season, I see them winning this weekend in Charlton. After a difficult start of the season Liverpool is playing better football. 11 from the 12 points which Charlton has are earned at home but this weekend they will not increase their home stats.
Newcastle(14) - Watford(20) (Won)
An excellent chance for Newcastle to get closer to the places which are worth an UEFA cup ticket at the end of the season. I see them winning solid this weekend against Watford.
West Ham United(18) - Manchester United(1) (Lost)
Before I saw that West Ham had presented their new head coach I was very confident in a victory of Manchester United. But you may never underestimate the effect within the first game under a new manager. Each player is willing to fight again for there place within the team. But still it should not be enough to beat Manchester. Manchester is my tip for this game.
Inter(1) - Messina(15) (Won)
Impressive head-2-head stats for Inter against Messina. Inter won 6 of its 7 games at home this season and the other one was a draw. Messina was not capable yet of scoring a win away from home. A win for Inter is expected.
Espanyol(11) - Real Madrid(3) (Won)
This is according to me the one with the highest risk! Still I believe in a victory of Real, cannot explain why. Probably cause they have to, if they want to get closer to Barcelona who are not playing this week in the Primera Division.
My Combos:
Combo1: Anderlecht, Bayern and Newcastle -> 2.83€ -> Won
Combo2: Liverpool, Inter, Club Brugge -> Lost
Combo3: Werder Bremen, Manchester United, Real Madrid -> Lost
Good luck,
European Sports Betting
Here we go again! As usual I will start of with my bets and my 3 combinations are placed at the bottom of the post.
Anderlecht(2) - Mons/Bergen(14) (Won)
Anderlecht is almost unbeatable at home within the Jupiler League, their only loss was against leader Genk. The away record from Bergen is not so impressive: 1 win, 2 draws and 5 losses. My money is on Anderlecht.
Cercle Brugge(17) - Club Brugge(3) (Lost)
Since Cercle has been promoted back to the Jupiler League they were not capable of winning against big brother Club. I don't think that this will change this Sunday. Normally Brugge is weaker away from home but they both play in the same stadion. Also a lot of players of Cercle are or injurid or suspended. Club Brugge is the one to bet on.
Mainz 05(18) - Bayern Munich(4) (Won)
Bayern cannot affort another misstep in the pursuit of the leaders of the Bundesliga. This should not be a problem against Mainz, who only won once at home this season. Also pretty nice odds for a win of Bayern.
Werder Bremen(1) - Wolfsburg(12) (Won)
Realatively high odds for the leader of the Bundesliga, certainly if you know that they are playing at home against Wolfsburg. A team who wants to win the Bundesliga cannot afford to loose points at home and I'm 90% sure that Bremen will send Wolfsburg back home without any point.
Charlton Athletic(19) - Liverpool(5) (Won)
While Liverpool has a lousy away record this season, I see them winning this weekend in Charlton. After a difficult start of the season Liverpool is playing better football. 11 from the 12 points which Charlton has are earned at home but this weekend they will not increase their home stats.
Newcastle(14) - Watford(20) (Won)
An excellent chance for Newcastle to get closer to the places which are worth an UEFA cup ticket at the end of the season. I see them winning solid this weekend against Watford.
West Ham United(18) - Manchester United(1) (Lost)
Before I saw that West Ham had presented their new head coach I was very confident in a victory of Manchester United. But you may never underestimate the effect within the first game under a new manager. Each player is willing to fight again for there place within the team. But still it should not be enough to beat Manchester. Manchester is my tip for this game.
Inter(1) - Messina(15) (Won)
Impressive head-2-head stats for Inter against Messina. Inter won 6 of its 7 games at home this season and the other one was a draw. Messina was not capable yet of scoring a win away from home. A win for Inter is expected.
Espanyol(11) - Real Madrid(3) (Won)
This is according to me the one with the highest risk! Still I believe in a victory of Real, cannot explain why. Probably cause they have to, if they want to get closer to Barcelona who are not playing this week in the Primera Division.
My Combos:
Combo1: Anderlecht, Bayern and Newcastle -> 2.83€ -> Won
Combo2: Liverpool, Inter, Club Brugge -> Lost
Combo3: Werder Bremen, Manchester United, Real Madrid -> Lost
Good luck,
European Sports Betting
Weekend 1-3/12/2006
The last month of the year.
3 games for this Friday special. I consider this combination pretty save but I cannot blame you if your trust in my predictions has decreased.
Beveren(14) - Anderlecht(2) (6.00, 3.40, 1.60) (2/2/7)
It is more than 4 years ago that Anderlecht lost in Beveren. If Anderlecht wins it will put all the pressure on KRC Genk. After a scoreless draw in Standard and a 2-1 defeat within Gent, it is time for Anderlecht to start colleting points away from home again. Beveren will be the sitting duck this evening.
Mainz o5(18) - Vfb Stuttgart (3) (3.65, 3.30, 2.00) (0/0/2)
Mainz does not have enough quality for the Bundesliga. The team of Stuttgart seems well balanced. After Werder Bremen Stuttgart has the second best offense of the league (27 goals). The defense of Mainz is one of the lesser ones of the league (25 goals against).
This combination pays-out: 3.20€. I consider this easy money.
My other bets for this weekend. Because I will try to pick "easier" games with lower odds, my combos will consist of more games. Let's see if this tactic works.
Cercle Brugge(15) - GBA(8) (2.35, 3.25, 2.85) (3/0/0)
Playing at Cercle is never fun. A giant stadium (shared with Club Brugge) with only 5 to 7 thousiand supporters. Both teams are not in their best form. GBA scored 6 points out of the last 6 games, while Cercle only gained 4 points. Cercle only lost 2 times at home this season, but after this weekend the counters will stand on 3. GBA always tries to play dominant football and they have the players to do this. They will win and Cavens will score his first goal of the season.
Lierse(18) - Club Brugge(3) (8.50, 4.40, 1.35) (2/5/5)
Clubg is out on revenge after again a missed chance in the Uefa Cup. Maybe they are not good enough for Europe but definitly strong enough for the Jupiler League. Last weekend was the first game for Rekdal as head coach from Lierse. While there seemed to be more swung in the team, they didn't manage to avoid a defeat. Normally Brugge may not have any problem at all in Lier.
Bochum(16) - Hamburger SV(17) (2.80, 3.30, 2.40) (2/4/2)
Hamburg again lost a player last week with a long term injury. And again it is a defender. I don't know how Doll arranges his trainings but there has to be something wrong. 80% of all injuries are muscle related. Still I think that they will have a good chance of winning in Bochum. The play of Hamburger SV is improving and the last two games they were capable of scoring again, which is a prerequisite for winning.
AZ(2) - Excelsior Rotterdam(10) (1.13, 6.50, 15.50) (1/0/0)
AZ is playing together with PSV the most beautiful football, which can be found in the Netherlands. Exclesior away is a drama, only one point. No, in my eyes they don't have any change in Alkmaar.
Ajax(3) - Willem II(15) (1.15, 6.00, 15.00) (12/1/0)
Ajax normally wins big at home against Willem II. But Ajax is trying to climb out of the form crisis where they are in now. From the last 5 games, they only were capable of one draw, all the other ones were lost. So, the home game against Willem II could not come at a better moment. This can be the morale booster which Ajax really needs.
Inter(1) - AC Siena(9) (1.23, 5.10, 16.00) (2/1/0)
Inter has this season an impressive home record. No game lost scored 14 times and only conceded 6 goals. Due to the affairs within the Italian Football there are relieved from the pressure from AC Milan and Juventus. Siena only scored 5 times away from home. I predict that Inter will score at least twice which will surely be enough for the victory.
Villareal(9) - Gimnastic(20) (1.45, 3.85, 8.00) (-/-/-)
Gimnastic clearly does not have enough potential to stay within the Primera Division. A goal difference of -15 and only 5 points from 12 games. Away they only scored 3 goals, but that was enough to return once with a victory. But this will not happen again this weekend. Villareal is not known for his home reputation, but winning this weekend should not be a problem.
This week I picked no games within the premier league. I don't have any confidence that I will predict a good one.
My combos:
Combo1: Inter, Ajax, Club Brugge -> Possible pay-out: 1.91€
Combo2: Villareal, AZ, Hamburger SV, GBA -> possible pay-out: 11.21€ (wouldn't this be nice)
Good luck,
European Sports Betting
3 games for this Friday special. I consider this combination pretty save but I cannot blame you if your trust in my predictions has decreased.
Beveren(14) - Anderlecht(2) (6.00, 3.40, 1.60) (2/2/7)
It is more than 4 years ago that Anderlecht lost in Beveren. If Anderlecht wins it will put all the pressure on KRC Genk. After a scoreless draw in Standard and a 2-1 defeat within Gent, it is time for Anderlecht to start colleting points away from home again. Beveren will be the sitting duck this evening.
Mainz o5(18) - Vfb Stuttgart (3) (3.65, 3.30, 2.00) (0/0/2)
Mainz does not have enough quality for the Bundesliga. The team of Stuttgart seems well balanced. After Werder Bremen Stuttgart has the second best offense of the league (27 goals). The defense of Mainz is one of the lesser ones of the league (25 goals against).
This combination pays-out: 3.20€. I consider this easy money.
My other bets for this weekend. Because I will try to pick "easier" games with lower odds, my combos will consist of more games. Let's see if this tactic works.
Cercle Brugge(15) - GBA(8) (2.35, 3.25, 2.85) (3/0/0)
Playing at Cercle is never fun. A giant stadium (shared with Club Brugge) with only 5 to 7 thousiand supporters. Both teams are not in their best form. GBA scored 6 points out of the last 6 games, while Cercle only gained 4 points. Cercle only lost 2 times at home this season, but after this weekend the counters will stand on 3. GBA always tries to play dominant football and they have the players to do this. They will win and Cavens will score his first goal of the season.
Lierse(18) - Club Brugge(3) (8.50, 4.40, 1.35) (2/5/5)
Clubg is out on revenge after again a missed chance in the Uefa Cup. Maybe they are not good enough for Europe but definitly strong enough for the Jupiler League. Last weekend was the first game for Rekdal as head coach from Lierse. While there seemed to be more swung in the team, they didn't manage to avoid a defeat. Normally Brugge may not have any problem at all in Lier.
Bochum(16) - Hamburger SV(17) (2.80, 3.30, 2.40) (2/4/2)
Hamburg again lost a player last week with a long term injury. And again it is a defender. I don't know how Doll arranges his trainings but there has to be something wrong. 80% of all injuries are muscle related. Still I think that they will have a good chance of winning in Bochum. The play of Hamburger SV is improving and the last two games they were capable of scoring again, which is a prerequisite for winning.
AZ(2) - Excelsior Rotterdam(10) (1.13, 6.50, 15.50) (1/0/0)
AZ is playing together with PSV the most beautiful football, which can be found in the Netherlands. Exclesior away is a drama, only one point. No, in my eyes they don't have any change in Alkmaar.
Ajax(3) - Willem II(15) (1.15, 6.00, 15.00) (12/1/0)
Ajax normally wins big at home against Willem II. But Ajax is trying to climb out of the form crisis where they are in now. From the last 5 games, they only were capable of one draw, all the other ones were lost. So, the home game against Willem II could not come at a better moment. This can be the morale booster which Ajax really needs.
Inter(1) - AC Siena(9) (1.23, 5.10, 16.00) (2/1/0)
Inter has this season an impressive home record. No game lost scored 14 times and only conceded 6 goals. Due to the affairs within the Italian Football there are relieved from the pressure from AC Milan and Juventus. Siena only scored 5 times away from home. I predict that Inter will score at least twice which will surely be enough for the victory.
Villareal(9) - Gimnastic(20) (1.45, 3.85, 8.00) (-/-/-)
Gimnastic clearly does not have enough potential to stay within the Primera Division. A goal difference of -15 and only 5 points from 12 games. Away they only scored 3 goals, but that was enough to return once with a victory. But this will not happen again this weekend. Villareal is not known for his home reputation, but winning this weekend should not be a problem.
This week I picked no games within the premier league. I don't have any confidence that I will predict a good one.
My combos:
Combo1: Inter, Ajax, Club Brugge -> Possible pay-out: 1.91€
Combo2: Villareal, AZ, Hamburger SV, GBA -> possible pay-out: 11.21€ (wouldn't this be nice)
Good luck,
European Sports Betting
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