Football Season bets 2008/2009

In the post you can find all my season bets. All bets are 1 EURO bets.

Belgian Jupiler League:
Champion: RSC Anderlecht -> 1,70
Top 3: KRC Genk -> 3,50
Bottom 2: Tubize -> 1,75

Ligue 1:
Top 3: Marseille -> 1,65

Bundesliga:
Top 3: Werder Bremen -> 1.75

Premier League:
Top 4: Tottenham -> 6.00

La Primera Division:
Top 4: Atletico Madrid -> 1.75
Degradation: Sporting Gijon -> 1.65

Eredivisie:
Champion: PSV -> 2.00

Overview:
Total ante: 9 Euro
Maximum Pay-out: 21,75

Good luck,
Dremeber

Preview of the Belgian Jupiler League

In the weekend of the 19th of August the Belgian Jupiler League will kick off again.
Let's see who are the favorites for taking the title, the relegation candidates and the European places.

The Jupiler League:
The competition is played with 18 teams and a home and away points. Besides the Champion and the cup winner only the number 2 and 3 will play in Europe next season.
The numbers 17 and 18 will directly relegate to the second Division (Exqui League from this season on).

Last season:
Surprisingly Standard Liege took the title last year. With Anderlecht on a second place and Club Brugge at third. The surprise of the season however was Cercle Brugge with a rookie coach and attractive football ending in spot number 4.
Fc Brussels and Sint Truiden relegated without a chance on another year in the Jupiler League.

The Championship candidates:
Standard Liege
I don't see how Standard Liege can prolong their title. Although (at the moment) no important player left the team, the coach did surprisingly.
The new coach is Lazlo Boloni. The have the advantage that the team is already played in but the big disadvantage that the will probably use another tactic.
Also a big disadvantage is that they probably will have a set back when the discovered that the CL is unreachable from them.

Anderlecht
For me personally the big favorite for next year. Their biggest loss is the move from Ahmed Hassan to Al Ahly but at the end of the seaon last year they played their best games without him. I think that the other players will be releaved a that new stars will step up the plate.
On the incomming side they did great things. Let me rephrase this to: they have bought players with great potential and these are proving them right during the friendly games.
They expect a lot from Mattias Suarez from Belgrano and Kanu from Barueri. But I think that the home crowd will quickly embrace Losada from GBA as their new favorite.

Club Brugge
After a disappointing season, which was saved by qualifying for Europe thx to the missteps of AA Gent and Cercle Brugge, they invested a lot in new players and released the weaker players of last season.
However when I look at their incoming transfers I don't see big names but with the budget available to them they bought in great. They expect that Akpala from Charlerloi will be the next topscores of the Jupiler League.
Their biggest advantage that they have above Anderlecht and Standard is their head coach. Maybe the best coach at the moment in Belgium with great tactical knowledge and the gift the keep all pressure away from the players.

The outsiders:
I see only one and that is Racing Genk. They have invested a lot. Not only in buying new players but also in extending the contracts of vital players. And after so many years of rumours they finally did buy Joao Carlos from Lokeren. On of the best, maybe the best central defender of the Jupiler League.

The odds for a 1 EURO bet:
To win the title Place 1-3
Anderlecht 1.70 1.12
Club Brugge 4.50 1.37
Standard Liege 5.00 1.42
Racing Genk 16.00 3.50

To relegate:
Tubize 1.75
Kortrijk 2.10
Dender FCV EH 3.25

I think that this will be the top 4:
1. Anderlecht
2. Club Brugge
3. Racing Genk
4. Standard Liege

So where will I put my money on:
1 EURO on Anderlecht to win the title
1 EURO on Racing Genk to end in the top 3.
1 Euro on Tubize to 1.75

Hope this helps,
Dremeber

Weekend 24-26/11/2006

I cannot complain about the midweek bets although it could be better. I won 2 of my 4 combinations. Yesterday I went to Club Brugge again Dinamo Bucaresti. Great game with a 1-1 result giving Brugge less than they deserved.

My advice for this weekend. Hoping to improve my bankroll, stats and your faith in my advice.

A special low risk bet for the games on Friday evening:

Schalke 04 (1) – Bochum (16) (1.37, 4.25, 9.00) (4/2/2)
The proud leader of the Bundesliga may kick off Matchday 14 at home against VF Bochum. Schalke is still undefeated at home this season and only allowed a draw against Bayern Munich. Last week bochum surprised everybody, including themselves, by winning at home against Eintracht Frankfurt. But I don’t see how they will be capable of returning home with a point or even a victory. Schalke 04 will win easily.

FC Twente (5) – Vitesse (12) (1.50, 3.60, 6.25) (5/5/4)
Twente still has to loose at home this season while Vitesse only has one away victory against Sparta Rotterdam. But Twente at home is incredible strong this season; this is proved by the 7-1 victory against FC Groningen. This home game will again result in a victory for the home team.

This combination (with a very low risk) pays out 2.06€.

My regular weekend bets.

STVV (16) – Cercle Brugge (13) (2.00, 3.30, 3.55) (0/4/1)
STVV presented their new head coach in the beginning of the week (Henk Houwaert). STVV won last week at Standard. It was a deserved victory although the first goal of STVV was pure luck. In the previous season STVV was known for the home reputation, after 2 wins in a row it is time to bring this old reputation back to life. For their 6 away games, Cercle only won one (at Zulte Waregem). Although Cercle always looses away with only one goal difference, I don’t see them stealing a point at STVV.

Werder Bremen (2) – Arminia Bielefeld (6) (1.42, 4.00, 8.00) (5/1/0)
In the Champions League Werder won 1-0 against Chelsea, which is an indication how strong they are at home. Bielefeld stats away are 1 win, 3 draws and 2 games lost. Bremen won 3 games at home, lost 2 and drew 1. While the stats indicate that a draw is perfectly possible, I favor Werder for a small victory.

Lazio (10) – Ascoli (17) (1.45, 3.65, 9.25) (1/0/0)
Ascoli only was gained 2 points away from home, while Lazio only lost one of their home games. I favor Lazio because they have a stronger team then Ascoli, they have the home advantage and they have won their last 2 games. Also it is from half September ago that Lazio lost a home game and Ascoli will not break this streak.

FC Groningen (6) – ADO Den Haag (18) (1.30, 4.50, 9.00) (4/0/0)
All previous encounters were won by Groningen and they will do so again this weekend. Last home game Groningen won 4-1 against Willem II. Groningen scored an impressive 18 goals in their 6 home games while ADO only scored three away goals from 6 matches this season. ADO has appointed a new head coach this weekend as a result the players will be extra motivated to fight for their place within the team but this will not be enough. I predict an easy victory of Groningen.

Barcalona (1) – Villareal (8) (1.40, 4.15, 8.35) (3/2/2)
As you can see from the Head2Head stats Barca always has it difficult against Villareal at home. But the last victory of Villareal is from the season 2000/2001. The last 2 home games were easy wins for Barca and this weekend also will be the same.

Liverpool (10) – Manchester City (12) (1.45, 3.85, 8.00) (7/0/1)
The last 3 encounters were close games but each time won by Liverpool with a one goal difference. Liverpool won its last 5 home games proving their strength at home. The 10^th place as a result a sloppy play away from home. City on the other hand was not capable of winning its last 6 away games. My conclusion from this is a victory for Liverpool.

My combinations for this weekend:
Combo 1: Werder, Lazio and Barcelona : possible pay-out 2.88€
Combo 2: Liverpool, FC Groningen and STVV: possible pay-out 3.77€

Good luck,
European Sports Betting