Weekend 17&18 December

Finally I can announce that my previous blog post was for 100% correct.

Here we go again! As usual I will start of with my bets and my 3 combinations are placed at the bottom of the post.


Anderlecht(2) - Mons/Bergen(14) (Won)
Anderlecht is almost unbeatable at home within the Jupiler League, their only loss was against leader Genk. The away record from Bergen is not so impressive: 1 win, 2 draws and 5 losses. My money is on Anderlecht.
Cercle Brugge(17) - Club Brugge(3) (Lost)
Since Cercle has been promoted back to the Jupiler League they were not capable of winning against big brother Club. I don't think that this will change this Sunday. Normally Brugge is weaker away from home but they both play in the same stadion. Also a lot of players of Cercle are or injurid or suspended. Club Brugge is the one to bet on.


Mainz 05(18) - Bayern Munich(4) (Won)
Bayern cannot affort another misstep in the pursuit of the leaders of the Bundesliga. This should not be a problem against Mainz, who only won once at home this season. Also pretty nice odds for a win of Bayern.
Werder Bremen(1) - Wolfsburg(12) (Won)
Realatively high odds for the leader of the Bundesliga, certainly if you know that they are playing at home against Wolfsburg. A team who wants to win the Bundesliga cannot afford to loose points at home and I'm 90% sure that Bremen will send Wolfsburg back home without any point.


Charlton Athletic(19) - Liverpool(5) (Won)
While Liverpool has a lousy away record this season, I see them winning this weekend in Charlton. After a difficult start of the season Liverpool is playing better football. 11 from the 12 points which Charlton has are earned at home but this weekend they will not increase their home stats.
Newcastle(14) - Watford(20) (Won)
An excellent chance for Newcastle to get closer to the places which are worth an UEFA cup ticket at the end of the season. I see them winning solid this weekend against Watford.
West Ham United(18) - Manchester United(1) (Lost)
Before I saw that West Ham had presented their new head coach I was very confident in a victory of Manchester United. But you may never underestimate the effect within the first game under a new manager. Each player is willing to fight again for there place within the team. But still it should not be enough to beat Manchester. Manchester is my tip for this game.


Inter(1) - Messina(15) (Won)
Impressive head-2-head stats for Inter against Messina. Inter won 6 of its 7 games at home this season and the other one was a draw. Messina was not capable yet of scoring a win away from home. A win for Inter is expected.


Espanyol(11) - Real Madrid(3) (Won)
This is according to me the one with the highest risk! Still I believe in a victory of Real, cannot explain why. Probably cause they have to, if they want to get closer to Barcelona who are not playing this week in the Primera Division.

My Combos:
Combo1: Anderlecht, Bayern and Newcastle -> 2.83€ -> Won
Combo2: Liverpool, Inter, Club Brugge -> Lost
Combo3: Werder Bremen, Manchester United, Real Madrid -> Lost

Good luck,
European Sports Betting

Weekend 24-26/11/2006

I cannot complain about the midweek bets although it could be better. I won 2 of my 4 combinations. Yesterday I went to Club Brugge again Dinamo Bucaresti. Great game with a 1-1 result giving Brugge less than they deserved.

My advice for this weekend. Hoping to improve my bankroll, stats and your faith in my advice.

A special low risk bet for the games on Friday evening:

Schalke 04 (1) – Bochum (16) (1.37, 4.25, 9.00) (4/2/2)
The proud leader of the Bundesliga may kick off Matchday 14 at home against VF Bochum. Schalke is still undefeated at home this season and only allowed a draw against Bayern Munich. Last week bochum surprised everybody, including themselves, by winning at home against Eintracht Frankfurt. But I don’t see how they will be capable of returning home with a point or even a victory. Schalke 04 will win easily.

FC Twente (5) – Vitesse (12) (1.50, 3.60, 6.25) (5/5/4)
Twente still has to loose at home this season while Vitesse only has one away victory against Sparta Rotterdam. But Twente at home is incredible strong this season; this is proved by the 7-1 victory against FC Groningen. This home game will again result in a victory for the home team.

This combination (with a very low risk) pays out 2.06€.

My regular weekend bets.

STVV (16) – Cercle Brugge (13) (2.00, 3.30, 3.55) (0/4/1)
STVV presented their new head coach in the beginning of the week (Henk Houwaert). STVV won last week at Standard. It was a deserved victory although the first goal of STVV was pure luck. In the previous season STVV was known for the home reputation, after 2 wins in a row it is time to bring this old reputation back to life. For their 6 away games, Cercle only won one (at Zulte Waregem). Although Cercle always looses away with only one goal difference, I don’t see them stealing a point at STVV.

Werder Bremen (2) – Arminia Bielefeld (6) (1.42, 4.00, 8.00) (5/1/0)
In the Champions League Werder won 1-0 against Chelsea, which is an indication how strong they are at home. Bielefeld stats away are 1 win, 3 draws and 2 games lost. Bremen won 3 games at home, lost 2 and drew 1. While the stats indicate that a draw is perfectly possible, I favor Werder for a small victory.

Lazio (10) – Ascoli (17) (1.45, 3.65, 9.25) (1/0/0)
Ascoli only was gained 2 points away from home, while Lazio only lost one of their home games. I favor Lazio because they have a stronger team then Ascoli, they have the home advantage and they have won their last 2 games. Also it is from half September ago that Lazio lost a home game and Ascoli will not break this streak.

FC Groningen (6) – ADO Den Haag (18) (1.30, 4.50, 9.00) (4/0/0)
All previous encounters were won by Groningen and they will do so again this weekend. Last home game Groningen won 4-1 against Willem II. Groningen scored an impressive 18 goals in their 6 home games while ADO only scored three away goals from 6 matches this season. ADO has appointed a new head coach this weekend as a result the players will be extra motivated to fight for their place within the team but this will not be enough. I predict an easy victory of Groningen.

Barcalona (1) – Villareal (8) (1.40, 4.15, 8.35) (3/2/2)
As you can see from the Head2Head stats Barca always has it difficult against Villareal at home. But the last victory of Villareal is from the season 2000/2001. The last 2 home games were easy wins for Barca and this weekend also will be the same.

Liverpool (10) – Manchester City (12) (1.45, 3.85, 8.00) (7/0/1)
The last 3 encounters were close games but each time won by Liverpool with a one goal difference. Liverpool won its last 5 home games proving their strength at home. The 10^th place as a result a sloppy play away from home. City on the other hand was not capable of winning its last 6 away games. My conclusion from this is a victory for Liverpool.

My combinations for this weekend:
Combo 1: Werder, Lazio and Barcelona : possible pay-out 2.88€
Combo 2: Liverpool, FC Groningen and STVV: possible pay-out 3.77€

Good luck,
European Sports Betting