Weekend 17&18 December

Finally I can announce that my previous blog post was for 100% correct.

Here we go again! As usual I will start of with my bets and my 3 combinations are placed at the bottom of the post.


Anderlecht(2) - Mons/Bergen(14) (Won)
Anderlecht is almost unbeatable at home within the Jupiler League, their only loss was against leader Genk. The away record from Bergen is not so impressive: 1 win, 2 draws and 5 losses. My money is on Anderlecht.
Cercle Brugge(17) - Club Brugge(3) (Lost)
Since Cercle has been promoted back to the Jupiler League they were not capable of winning against big brother Club. I don't think that this will change this Sunday. Normally Brugge is weaker away from home but they both play in the same stadion. Also a lot of players of Cercle are or injurid or suspended. Club Brugge is the one to bet on.


Mainz 05(18) - Bayern Munich(4) (Won)
Bayern cannot affort another misstep in the pursuit of the leaders of the Bundesliga. This should not be a problem against Mainz, who only won once at home this season. Also pretty nice odds for a win of Bayern.
Werder Bremen(1) - Wolfsburg(12) (Won)
Realatively high odds for the leader of the Bundesliga, certainly if you know that they are playing at home against Wolfsburg. A team who wants to win the Bundesliga cannot afford to loose points at home and I'm 90% sure that Bremen will send Wolfsburg back home without any point.


Charlton Athletic(19) - Liverpool(5) (Won)
While Liverpool has a lousy away record this season, I see them winning this weekend in Charlton. After a difficult start of the season Liverpool is playing better football. 11 from the 12 points which Charlton has are earned at home but this weekend they will not increase their home stats.
Newcastle(14) - Watford(20) (Won)
An excellent chance for Newcastle to get closer to the places which are worth an UEFA cup ticket at the end of the season. I see them winning solid this weekend against Watford.
West Ham United(18) - Manchester United(1) (Lost)
Before I saw that West Ham had presented their new head coach I was very confident in a victory of Manchester United. But you may never underestimate the effect within the first game under a new manager. Each player is willing to fight again for there place within the team. But still it should not be enough to beat Manchester. Manchester is my tip for this game.


Inter(1) - Messina(15) (Won)
Impressive head-2-head stats for Inter against Messina. Inter won 6 of its 7 games at home this season and the other one was a draw. Messina was not capable yet of scoring a win away from home. A win for Inter is expected.


Espanyol(11) - Real Madrid(3) (Won)
This is according to me the one with the highest risk! Still I believe in a victory of Real, cannot explain why. Probably cause they have to, if they want to get closer to Barcelona who are not playing this week in the Primera Division.

My Combos:
Combo1: Anderlecht, Bayern and Newcastle -> 2.83€ -> Won
Combo2: Liverpool, Inter, Club Brugge -> Lost
Combo3: Werder Bremen, Manchester United, Real Madrid -> Lost

Good luck,
European Sports Betting

Weekend 1-3/12/2006

The last month of the year.


3 games for this Friday special. I consider this combination pretty save but I cannot blame you if your trust in my predictions has decreased.
Beveren(14) - Anderlecht(2) (6.00, 3.40, 1.60) (2/2/7)
It is more than 4 years ago that Anderlecht lost in Beveren. If Anderlecht wins it will put all the pressure on KRC Genk. After a scoreless draw in Standard and a 2-1 defeat within Gent, it is time for Anderlecht to start colleting points away from home again. Beveren will be the sitting duck this evening.
Mainz o5(18) - Vfb Stuttgart (3) (3.65, 3.30, 2.00) (0/0/2)
Mainz does not have enough quality for the Bundesliga. The team of Stuttgart seems well balanced. After Werder Bremen Stuttgart has the second best offense of the league (27 goals). The defense of Mainz is one of the lesser ones of the league (25 goals against).

This combination pays-out: 3.20€. I consider this easy money.

My other bets for this weekend. Because I will try to pick "easier" games with lower odds, my combos will consist of more games. Let's see if this tactic works.


Cercle Brugge(15) - GBA(8) (2.35, 3.25, 2.85) (3/0/0)
Playing at Cercle is never fun. A giant stadium (shared with Club Brugge) with only 5 to 7 thousiand supporters. Both teams are not in their best form. GBA scored 6 points out of the last 6 games, while Cercle only gained 4 points. Cercle only lost 2 times at home this season, but after this weekend the counters will stand on 3. GBA always tries to play dominant football and they have the players to do this. They will win and Cavens will score his first goal of the season.
Lierse(18) - Club Brugge(3) (8.50, 4.40, 1.35) (2/5/5)
Clubg is out on revenge after again a missed chance in the Uefa Cup. Maybe they are not good enough for Europe but definitly strong enough for the Jupiler League. Last weekend was the first game for Rekdal as head coach from Lierse. While there seemed to be more swung in the team, they didn't manage to avoid a defeat. Normally Brugge may not have any problem at all in Lier.


Bochum(16) - Hamburger SV(17) (2.80, 3.30, 2.40) (2/4/2)
Hamburg again lost a player last week with a long term injury. And again it is a defender. I don't know how Doll arranges his trainings but there has to be something wrong. 80% of all injuries are muscle related. Still I think that they will have a good chance of winning in Bochum. The play of Hamburger SV is improving and the last two games they were capable of scoring again, which is a prerequisite for winning.


AZ(2) - Excelsior Rotterdam(10) (1.13, 6.50, 15.50) (1/0/0)
AZ is playing together with PSV the most beautiful football, which can be found in the Netherlands. Exclesior away is a drama, only one point. No, in my eyes they don't have any change in Alkmaar.
Ajax(3) - Willem II(15) (1.15, 6.00, 15.00) (12/1/0)
Ajax normally wins big at home against Willem II. But Ajax is trying to climb out of the form crisis where they are in now. From the last 5 games, they only were capable of one draw, all the other ones were lost. So, the home game against Willem II could not come at a better moment. This can be the morale booster which Ajax really needs.


Inter(1) - AC Siena(9) (1.23, 5.10, 16.00) (2/1/0)
Inter has this season an impressive home record. No game lost scored 14 times and only conceded 6 goals. Due to the affairs within the Italian Football there are relieved from the pressure from AC Milan and Juventus. Siena only scored 5 times away from home. I predict that Inter will score at least twice which will surely be enough for the victory.


Villareal(9) - Gimnastic(20) (1.45, 3.85, 8.00) (-/-/-)
Gimnastic clearly does not have enough potential to stay within the Primera Division. A goal difference of -15 and only 5 points from 12 games. Away they only scored 3 goals, but that was enough to return once with a victory. But this will not happen again this weekend. Villareal is not known for his home reputation, but winning this weekend should not be a problem.

This week I picked no games within the premier league. I don't have any confidence that I will predict a good one.

My combos:
Combo1: Inter, Ajax, Club Brugge -> Possible pay-out: 1.91€
Combo2: Villareal, AZ, Hamburger SV, GBA -> possible pay-out: 11.21€ (wouldn't this be nice)

Good luck,
European Sports Betting

Champions League Matchday 5

All,

A lot of midweek games this week. Within the Champions League we have Matchday 5 and in the Uefa cup it's matchday 3.

Today we will concentrate on matchday 5.

First let's start with the Bwin.com Tueday special. This one is a little bit tricky but you'll never know.

Real Madrid - Lyon (1.90, 3.25, 3.75)
The number 1 in group E visits number 2. Real lost 2-0 in Lyon, but is now playing much better. Van Nistelrooy has fitted in and scoring goals on command. Both team are already qualified for the next round so it is just a matter of proud. The fans of Real expect a nothing less than a victory therefor I favour Real.
Celtic - Man U (4.00, 3.20, 1.85)
Nice odds for Manchester. The home game of Manchester was a beautiful game to watch. Man U won with 3-2. Within Scotland Celtic is undefeated for 13 games but in Europe the story is different (won 2. lost2). For the moment they are still unbeaten in the home games in this campaign but Man U will end this streak.

This combination will pay out 3.52 as you can see in the Bwin banner above. Try it out! I'm also going to make use of the free SMS service for this, cause I have Spanish Class at Tuesday evenings.

Group C:
Arsenal - Hamburg (1.20, 5.50, 14)
After the scoreless draw of last game Arsenal cannot afford to loose more points within this group. A win will give them an option on the next round. With this is the back of my mind I cannot image how Hamburg will be capable of drawing of even winning at Highburry. Hamburg wasn't capable yet of collection 1 point and has a goal difference of -7.

Group A:
Levski - Barcalona (15, 6, 1.15)
Levski so far lost all of their home games with at least a 2 goal difference. Barca has to win this game to keep a chance on qualifiying for the next round. Allthough a lot of key players of Barca are injurid they have enough of potential to win at Levski.

Group B:
Inter - Sporting (1.42, 3.80, 8)
After a bad start Inter is now second in the this group. They are out on revenge after the deserved 2-0 defeat within Lisboa. If they win they be qualified, losing or even a draw is almost equal to a degradation to the UEFA cup.

Group D:
Valencia - Olympiacos (1.45, 4.25, 9)
Valencia is already qualified for the next round and are trying to find their best form again. A game against Olympiacos is ideal for this. Valencia won in Greece with 2-4 and hasn't lost at home in this CL campaign. Olympiacos, managed by master tacticus Solied, collected a point in each away game but I don't think that they will do this trick again.

I'm gonna play this last 4 games in 2 combinations:
Combo 1: Barca and Arsenal -> 1.38
Combo 2: Inter and Valencia -> 2.06

Good Luck,
European Sports Betting