Weekend 8-10 december 2006

Only 2 combos for this weekend. I found it extreme hard to find the games where if I enough confidence in the outcome.

Jupiler league
Westerlo(7) - Cercle Brugge(16) (LOST)
No doubt about it. Westerlo will win this home game. The 5 last away games were lost by Cercle and they will continue this streak. Also they were not able to score a single goal in these last 5 away games. Only tops teams have a change on winning in Westerlo and Cercle isn't one.

Bundesliga
Bor. Mönchengladbach (16) - Mainz 05(18) (LOST)
Borussia lost 3 home games in a row after they won 3 home games in a row at home. Mainz only scored 2 draws away from home. My money is on Borussia because of the home advantage.

Premier League
Tottenham (10) - Charlton (19) (WON)
It is time for Tottenham to work on these head-to-head statistics. Now is the chance. Charlton is fighting for survival within the premier league and is not playing well away from home. Tottenham on the other hand is almost unbeatable.
Bolton Wanderers (9) - West Ham United (WON)
While Bolton hasn't exactly an home reputation this season the out reputation of West Ham is even worse. No points, only one goal scored and 9 conceded. For this game we will follow the ranking and believe in a victory of Bolton.

Ligue 1
Lyonnais(1) - PSG(14) (WON)
Lyonnais disappointed me in the CL but I doubt it that they will let me down in the home game against PSG. In the ligue 1 the last 4 home games they didn't loose and will continue this streak this Sunday. The problem of PSG is that they have difficulties with scoring away from home, only 4 goals in the last 6 away games. And they will need to score at least twice to win or draw in Lyon and that will not happen.

Eredivisie
Feyenoord(5) - Ado Den Haag(18) (WON)
Last season ADO won with 0-2 in Den Haag. Ado surprised last weekend with 2-5 in Groningen but they will not do this stunt again in Rotterdam. It is 4 games ago that Feyenoord lost a home game. Feyenoord will win this. If you don't want to play this, a pretty safe bet is over. In 13 of the 15 games which Feyenoord played this season, over was a good bet.

I play the following combos.
Combo1: Westerlo , Feyenoord & Lyonnais -> LOST
Combo2: Bolton, Bor. Mönchengladbach & Tottenham -> LOST

Good luck,
European Sports Betting

Last matchday Champions League: the sequal

Champions League Still nagging about the late goal Inter made. Incredible.

The combos for today.

First let's starts with the Bwin.com special.
Dynamo Kiev - Real Madrid (2.65, 3.25, 2.40)
Dynamo lost both other home games and have a goal difference from -11. Real is already qualified for the next round but I doubt it that they will loose a point in Kiev. I consider even the B-team of Real better than Kiev.
Lyonnais - Steaua (1.30, 4.50, 9.00)
While Lyonnais is already qualified on probably will not play with all its star player I don't believe that they will give the game away. For a player close to the first team it is honour to play Champions League and they want to show their qualities to the European forum. Steaua is already qualified for the next Uefa Cup round.
This combination has a possible pay-out of 3.12€. If you want to play this combo just mark the correct boxes in the Bwin banner above, insert the correct betting amount and collect your winnings.

Combo2:
For combo 2 I only took matches from group H. In this group only AC milan is sure that they are qualified for the next CL round. Lille and AEK still have a chance to qualify as second, while Anderlecht can only hope on the Uefa cup. For this last scenario Lille has to loose in Milan and Anderlecht has to win against AEK. I'm confident that this last thing will happen. AEK won their last 8 games within the Greek competition but have never won away in the Champions League. The last home victory of Anderlecht is more than 3 years ago but this will chance today. Probably they will play with Tchite and Frutos as striker, which is an excellent combination.
Milan does not want to loose at home but I doubt it that they will try to win this game. So to be sure the have to correct bet I will go for Milan double chance.
RSC Anderlecht - AEK (2.40, 3.45, 2.75)
AC Milan - Lille (1X -> 1.38)
This combo has a possible pay-out of 3.31€.

Good luck,
European Sports Betting

Final Matchday Champions League

Today the final matchday of the Champions League. While some teams are already qualified other still have a small change but a victory is mandatory.

First lets start with the Bwin.com special.
Barcelona - Werder Bremen (1.40, 4.00, 7.15)
Werder will qualify with a draw of a victory. But winning against Barcelona is not so easy, certainly not if Barca needs to win to qualify themselves. My money is on Barca.

Bayern Munich - Inter Milan (2.10, 3.20, 3.20)
Both teams are already qualified for the next round, so it is only a matter of prestige. In such games it is more important for the home team to not loose. So I predict a draw or a small victory for Bayern. Cause I don't believe in betting on draws my money is on Bayern.

This combination pays-out 2.94€. If you want to play this bet. Simply check to correct boxes above, in the Bwin banner and place your bet.

Roma - Valencia (1.50, 3.35, 9.00)
I like to bet 0n Valencia but for once I will place a bet against them. Valencia is already qualified but Roma still needs a least one point. Roma is currently second in the Seri A, while Valencia is struggling within the Primera Division. I favor Roma.
Sporting - Spartak Moskva (1.57, 3.65, 6.25)
Both teams are already eliminated from the CL and it is almost sure that Sporting will play in the Uefa cup after the winter break. Still it is a hard game to predict. But because Spartak lost all their away games, I favor Sporting.

This combination pays-out 2.36€.

Only 2 combinations of 2 games this matchday. This to minimize the risk. If you want to add another game to this last combo, I can advise PSV in double chance.

Good luck,
European Sports Betting

Weekend 1-3/12/2006

The last month of the year.


3 games for this Friday special. I consider this combination pretty save but I cannot blame you if your trust in my predictions has decreased.
Beveren(14) - Anderlecht(2) (6.00, 3.40, 1.60) (2/2/7)
It is more than 4 years ago that Anderlecht lost in Beveren. If Anderlecht wins it will put all the pressure on KRC Genk. After a scoreless draw in Standard and a 2-1 defeat within Gent, it is time for Anderlecht to start colleting points away from home again. Beveren will be the sitting duck this evening.
Mainz o5(18) - Vfb Stuttgart (3) (3.65, 3.30, 2.00) (0/0/2)
Mainz does not have enough quality for the Bundesliga. The team of Stuttgart seems well balanced. After Werder Bremen Stuttgart has the second best offense of the league (27 goals). The defense of Mainz is one of the lesser ones of the league (25 goals against).

This combination pays-out: 3.20€. I consider this easy money.

My other bets for this weekend. Because I will try to pick "easier" games with lower odds, my combos will consist of more games. Let's see if this tactic works.

Jupiler league
Cercle Brugge(15) - GBA(8) (2.35, 3.25, 2.85) (3/0/0)
Playing at Cercle is never fun. A giant stadium (shared with Club Brugge) with only 5 to 7 thousiand supporters. Both teams are not in their best form. GBA scored 6 points out of the last 6 games, while Cercle only gained 4 points. Cercle only lost 2 times at home this season, but after this weekend the counters will stand on 3. GBA always tries to play dominant football and they have the players to do this. They will win and Cavens will score his first goal of the season.
Lierse(18) - Club Brugge(3) (8.50, 4.40, 1.35) (2/5/5)
Clubg is out on revenge after again a missed chance in the Uefa Cup. Maybe they are not good enough for Europe but definitly strong enough for the Jupiler League. Last weekend was the first game for Rekdal as head coach from Lierse. While there seemed to be more swung in the team, they didn't manage to avoid a defeat. Normally Brugge may not have any problem at all in Lier.

Bundesliga
Bochum(16) - Hamburger SV(17) (2.80, 3.30, 2.40) (2/4/2)
Hamburg again lost a player last week with a long term injury. And again it is a defender. I don't know how Doll arranges his trainings but there has to be something wrong. 80% of all injuries are muscle related. Still I think that they will have a good chance of winning in Bochum. The play of Hamburger SV is improving and the last two games they were capable of scoring again, which is a prerequisite for winning.

Eredivisie
AZ(2) - Excelsior Rotterdam(10) (1.13, 6.50, 15.50) (1/0/0)
AZ is playing together with PSV the most beautiful football, which can be found in the Netherlands. Exclesior away is a drama, only one point. No, in my eyes they don't have any change in Alkmaar.
Ajax(3) - Willem II(15) (1.15, 6.00, 15.00) (12/1/0)
Ajax normally wins big at home against Willem II. But Ajax is trying to climb out of the form crisis where they are in now. From the last 5 games, they only were capable of one draw, all the other ones were lost. So, the home game against Willem II could not come at a better moment. This can be the morale booster which Ajax really needs.

Calcio
Inter(1) - AC Siena(9) (1.23, 5.10, 16.00) (2/1/0)
Inter has this season an impressive home record. No game lost scored 14 times and only conceded 6 goals. Due to the affairs within the Italian Football there are relieved from the pressure from AC Milan and Juventus. Siena only scored 5 times away from home. I predict that Inter will score at least twice which will surely be enough for the victory.

Primera Divsion
Villareal(9) - Gimnastic(20) (1.45, 3.85, 8.00) (-/-/-)
Gimnastic clearly does not have enough potential to stay within the Primera Division. A goal difference of -15 and only 5 points from 12 games. Away they only scored 3 goals, but that was enough to return once with a victory. But this will not happen again this weekend. Villareal is not known for his home reputation, but winning this weekend should not be a problem.

This week I picked no games within the premier league. I don't have any confidence that I will predict a good one.

My combos:
Combo1: Inter, Ajax, Club Brugge -> Possible pay-out: 1.91€
Combo2: Villareal, AZ, Hamburger SV, GBA -> possible pay-out: 11.21€ (wouldn't this be nice)

Good luck,
European Sports Betting

Statistics December 2006


CompetitionPredictionsCorrectFalsePercentage
Bundesliga52
3
40%
Jupiler League6
3
3
50%
Premier League10
7
3
70%
Ligue 14
2
2
50%
International


00%
Serie A6
5
1
83,33%
Eredivisie9
4
5
44,44%
Primera Division4
3
1
75%
Others17
10
7
58,82%
Total61
36
25
59,02%


CompetitionPredictionsCorrectFalsePercentage
WTA


00%
ATP


00%
Total


00%


CompetitionPredictionsCorrectFalsePercentage
Single advise
61
36
25
59,02%
Combinations22
4
18
18,18%
Single bets
1
0
1
0%