Friday, May 05, 2017

Tips and Picks: Round 7 Play-off Jupiler Pro League

4 more rounds to play before the season in Belgium ends.
At the moment the Poisson model is running a little bit behind. Mainly caused by the 1X2 bets. Don't know what the problem is there. I decided to continue to play them, to have a complete historical record for next years play-offs.

I would be nice to score another Acca. I did hope on 3 acca's, so one to go.
As always all my bets are placed at:

My 1X2 tips and bets for this round:


RoundHomeAwayTypeAnteOddsBetResultG/FPay-outP/L
SP7CharleroiClub Brugge1X21222G21
SP7MechelenWaasland-Beveren1X211,510-1
SP7KortrijkRoeselare1X211,7610-1
SP7LokerenMouscron1X211,8510-1
SP7St TruidenStandard1X213,5X0-1
SP7OostendeGent1X213,45X0-1
SP7AnderlechtWaregem1X211,2810-1
SP7GenkEupen1X211,2810-1

The Over/Under market stand on a small profit for the moment, let's continue this momentum.

RoundHomeAwayTypeAnteOddsBetResultG/FPay-outP/L
SP7MechelenWaasland-BeverenO/U12,08U0-1
SP7KortrijkRoeselareO/U11,48O0-1
SP7LierseUnionO/U11,94O0-1
SP7LokerenMouscronO/U12,25U0-1
SP7St TruidenStandardO/U11,83O0-1
SP7AnderlechtWaregemO/U12,75U0-1
SP7GenkEupenO/U11,38O0-1

The BTTS market is running on the other hand a little bit behind. These bets should bring green figures to this market:

RoundHomeAwayTypeAnteOddsBetResultG/FPay-outP/L
SP7CharleroiClub BruggeBTTS12,02N0-1
SP7MechelenWaasland-BeverenBTTS11,88N0-1
SP7LierseUnionBTTS12,02N0-1
SP7LokerenMouscronBTTS12,25N0-1
SP7OostendeGentBTTS12,05N0-1
SP7GenkEupenBTTS12,12N0-1

My bets market at the moment, the correct score bets. At the moment delivering a profit of 4 units, good for a ROI of 8,7%.

RoundHomeAwayTypeAnteOddsBetResultG/FPay-outP/L
SP7CharleroiClub BruggeCS190-00-1
SP7MechelenWaasland-BeverenCS17,51-00-1
SP7KortrijkRoeselareCS18,51-10-1
SP7LokerenMouscronCS19,51-00-1
SP7St TruidenStandardCS171-10-1
SP7OostendeGentCS1101-00-1
SP7AnderlechtWaregemCS182-00-1
SP7GenkEupenCS192-00-1
SP7LierseUnionCS111,50-10-1

Last but not least my Acca's. After a good start, this betting market is also getting behind. One more correct will probably make it a winning market for the complete play-offs.

My 1X2 acca looks like this:

Home AwayPredictionOdds
4 1X2GenkEupen11,28
CharleroiClub Brugge22
KortrijkRoeselare11,74
MechelenWaasland11,5
Total6,68

My BTTS Acca is the following:
Home AwayPredictionOdds
4 BTTSSt TruidenStandardJ1,64
MechelenWaaslandN1,88
LokerenMouscronN2,25
GenkEupenN2,12
Total14,71

The O/U acca:
Home AwayPredictionOdds
4 O/ULierseUnionO1,94
KortrijkRoeselareO1,48
CharleroiClub BruggeU1,84
St TruidenStandardO1,83
Total9,67

Last but not least the Correct score Yankee, with a potential profit of 715 units :).
Home AwayPredictionOdds
CSGenkEupen2-09
St TruidenStandard1-17
AnderlechtWaregem2-08
CharleroiClub Brugge0-09
Total716,6

The test run of the Poisson model for the Dutch Eredivisie is almost done. If ready in time I will post the predictions according to the new model. I probably will not bet on it.

Good luck,
Dremeber