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Showing posts from 2012

Weekend recap

It was a bad weekend. Played 5 coupons and on none of them did I get into the money. One tickets is still running and appears to be promising. But due to the fact that I wrote this down, it will of course fail miserably.

Total ante for the weekend was 12,8 euros.
On Friday I did had my worst ticket with only 5/12 correct. The supertoto 14 on Saturday was a little bit better, but one mistake to many. The extra coupon on Saturday was also not good enough with only 7/11.

For the moment Sunday is still looking promising, with the second extra ticket on which I have 5 out of 5, with 3 matches to go. At half time, 2 are still correct. The last game is only 17 minutes underway.
If I do manage to get 8/8 I probably will end the weekend in green figure and it also will minimize my losses for the month. The start on Sunday was again a failure with only 7/12.

Lots of tickets ahead this week with the Champions league and the Europa League kicking off.

Update:
The lost coupon was a good one. 8 out…

Supertoto 14: 14.09.2012

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Here we are again. The registration for the supertoto of this week has been closed.
I did only played one coupon of 1,60 euros.

The turnover for this week is 35193,7 euros. This is a 3000 euro higher than average for this year (32490 euro). There are 9521 coupons registered, this is a little bit above average for this year (9394). The average ante per coupon is 3,70 euro.

Price pot according to groups (all in euros):
Group a (14/14): 13102,11 (single winner: 63102,11)
Group b (13/14): 6334,87
Group c (12/14): 5982,93
Group d (11/14): 7038,74

If there are more than 7039 tickets within group d, there will be no pay-out. For group c the limit is set on 5983 tickets.

Luckily for me there are no matches from la Ligue 1 on the coupon, which increases my chances.

Here is my coupon for today:

Good luck,
Dremeber

Supertoto Extra: 13.09.2012

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The registration has closed. There are 2040 coupons registered and the turnover is 6239,4 euros.
This means that the pot for group a, all correct, for this evening is around 3144,66 and for group b, 1347,71.

12 matches on the coupon and (if I'm not mistaken) for the first time a match included from the Belgiums Jupiler League.
I did register a coupon of 2,40 euros with 3 halve-hedges and one full hedge.

Result update: Only 5 out of 12 correct. So a bad start of the weekend. The positive thing is that it only can get better. This could be my worst extra coupon ever :(.
But probably I was alone. No tickets with all correct, even no tickets with 11 out of 12! Didn't see this happening before. 2 tickets with 10 out 0f 12 correct, good for 1572,33 euros per ticket. Only 26 tickets within group b (9/12) good for 51,84 euros.

Good luck,
Dremeber

Bankroll management: Superoto style

Bankroll management is utmost important. This speaks for itself. Bankroll management will not increase your chances of becoming a winning player but cannot be ignored. Your profit will not become higher, by using a suited bankroll management, but it should
decrease your overall loss, for sure in the darker periods of time.

Rarely people do start with a bankroll management when starting with gambling on sports.
I my opinion this is also impossible, cause I believe that bankroll management should be based on statistics. And not general statistics but your own statistics. Meaning that your bankroll management should be tweaked once in a while. Due to the fact that stats can change a lot in the beginning when recording them, bankroll management should be evaluated frequently. After some time, when you have enough stat it should be tweaked less often.

Due to the fact that my statistics are relatively limited in amount (only 27 bets), I decided to evaluate my bankroll manage…

Supertoto: Are you going for gold or for the jackpot

Both things would be great but both require a different strategy. There can be a big difference between gold and the jackpot within the Supertoto. Expecially when playing a supertoto 14!

The average pay-out for a ticket within the supertoto 14, with all 14 matches correct, is between 500 - 1000 euros. Compare this with the guaranteed jackpot of at least 50000 euros for a single winner. A big difference isn't?
Due to the fact that the guaranteed pot for a single winner within the Supertoto Extra is between 5.000 and 10.000 euros, the difference here is of course a lot smaller.

If you are going for 14 correct that you have sufficient information on the internet on which you can make your predictions.
But when playing for the jackpot you need to fully understand that you are not playing against the bookie but against other gamblers. This is for instance why I don't place my coupons on advance on my blog. You my readers and fellow gambler or also my enemies!  Or if I win big, my c…

My bet for the Supertoto Extra 08.09.2012

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After the deception of yesterday, we are taking a new shot with the Supertoto Extra of today.
With the supertoto the ROI is much more important than the % of winning tickets.

10 matches on the coupon. 1 coupon played with 16 rows, so a cost price of 1,60 euros.

The turnover for this supertoto extra is 7125,10 euro, meaning that there will be a pot for group a around 3591,05 euros and the pot for group b is 1539,2 euros.

If you are playing also. Good luck.
Probably no bet for the supertoto tomorrow. To much games from unknown divisions for me.

Update: Oops a very bad weekend. Only 4 out of 10 correct. Have to do more research for the Tuesdag WC qualifying matches.
Cheers,
Dremeber

Results Supertoto 14 XL 07.09.2012

Well we did start the month with a bummer. I failed to turn a coupon of 19,20 euros into a winning one.
I did end up in Group D, but due to the fact that there is a minimum pay-out of 1 euro and the value for a ticket in group D was only worth 0,49 euros, it is a zero pay-out day.

The 3 games which I had incorrect was:
Montenegro - Poland. I did bet on 1 or 2, but the result was unfortunately a draw.
Hungary - Italy: My prediction for a win for Italy was incorrect.
Iceland - Norway: Didn't see that victory of Iceland coming.

There were 9 winning tickets in Group A, all good for a pay-out of 1424,6 euros.
In group B there were 198 winning tickets good for 21,03 euros.
In the last paying group C there were 1910 tickets, all worth 2,06 euros.
In the unfortunate group D we were with 9506 tickets, at least 50% to much, to a get a pay check.

According tot he distribution, the biggest surprise was the victory of Iceland over Norway, it was only marked at 18% of the tickets. Closely follo…

Supertoto Result August 2012

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Started the football season with a profit. Nothing more nothing less.
The profit from the supertoto was 81,19 euros.

In total I played 9 supertoto tickets with a combined value of 37,16 euro, which give a ROI of 218%. Not bad.

Only 3 winning tickets, which is 33% of the tickets played.
My biggest pay-out was 102,15 euros.

Why do I like the Supertoto?

Well it feels more like a competition than gambling. Of course it isn't but don't spoil my fun.

I was annoyed making great combo's with incredible pay-outs to see them fail at the last minute of a game.
In such a case it is all or nothing. This isn't the fact with the supertoto, one incorrect prediction doesn't mean that the complete bet is a waste of money, it just moves your ticket a group down.

It is also cheaper for me than creating my own betting combos. Selecting matches to include in a combo, throwing them away, starting over again. Don't forget that for just 0,10 euros you can start playing supertoto.
There are plenty of enough chances per week, but my main focus lays on the supertoto 14.
Also you play with the games on the coupon, period.

Also I find it important that I don't need to find the weaknesses of the bookmaker or their incorrect odds. I just play against other gamblers.

It is just like playing the lotto but than with a little bit more in…

Supertoto what is it?

Now what exactly is that dude talking, writing, bragging and weaning about?
I will try to explain in my words the most important rules of supertoto betting.

Supertoto is a pool game mostly around football, occasionally tennis or Icehockey.
There are 2 different types of supertoto:
- Supertoto 14 (and 14 XL and 14 XXL);
- Supertoto extra.
Both times of Supertoto have a guaranteed price pool from 5.000 euro onwards as high as 100.000 euro for a single winner.

For each row on the tickets you have multiple choises. 1: home team wins, x: draw, 2: away team wins.
You can also make 2 choices (called halve-hedging), which will double the cost prize of the ticket, or mark all 3 options of the row (full-hedging) which will triple the costing price of the ticket.

Supertoto 14, Supertoto 14 XL and Supertoto 14 XXL
The supertoto 14, as the name says consists of 14 matches. Mostly on one day (Saturday), occasionally spread over Saturday and Sunday. The tickets with a minimum of 11 correct predicti…