Champions League Qualification 2008/2009

Tonight the second qualification of the CL will start. There appear to be some easy bets but avoid the surprises.

4 teams should win their home game easily. These are Fenerbache, RSC Anderlecht, Glasgow Rangers and Panathinaikos but of course the value of these bets don't make them interesting. I expect that at least Sparta Prague or Dinamo Zagreb also should be capable of winning their away games. And because it is now wise to combine all these games within in combination I have to make some decisions.

Cause Anderlecht is one of my favorites teams, their are the first team in my combo. Because all start is difficult I decided to only have 2 games within my combination I have to pick one other game. By looking at the odds I have to decide between Sparta and Dinamo. My gut feeling says Sparta, so Sparta it is.

So the winning combo for tomorrow is:
Anderlecht and Sparta good for an odd of 2.24 for 1 EURO.
Bet is 1.25 for a possible payout of 2.80 EURO.

Good luck,
Dremeber

Bugger! I never did see them in this size!

Attracting title isn't?
So what I'm talking about! I mentoined a few posts ago that I finally did got my new car. Well here it is.My Ford Mondeo Titanium WagonSo where r we now? The topic still doesn't cover the tittle or does it? Now there are much bigger cars than this one. For sure.
Yesterday evening driving home from work, the little disaster happened. It was dark within minutes and this at 6.30 pm in the evening during summer. Few minutes later the hail started to poor down. If have never seen so big and violent hails in my life before. As a result, more than 100 dents in the hood, same for the roof, same for 1 door, etc...
My biggest worry (car wise that is) is that the insurance company belonging to the lease agancy will write a one week old car off, like they would do in Germany. In dutch: declare it "per total". In English total loss.

So here are the hails:
The hails that destroyed my MondeoThe hails which destroyed my Mondeo

So indeed: BUGGER.

Good luck at the table,
Dremeber

Football Season bets 2008/2009

In the post you can find all my season bets. All bets are 1 EURO bets.

Belgian Jupiler League:
Champion: RSC Anderlecht -> 1,70
Top 3: KRC Genk -> 3,50
Bottom 2: Tubize -> 1,75

Ligue 1:
Top 3: Marseille -> 1,65

Bundesliga:
Top 3: Werder Bremen -> 1.75

Premier League:
Top 4: Tottenham -> 6.00

La Primera Division:
Top 4: Atletico Madrid -> 1.75
Degradation: Sporting Gijon -> 1.65

Eredivisie:
Champion: PSV -> 2.00

Overview:
Total ante: 9 Euro
Maximum Pay-out: 21,75

Good luck,
Dremeber

Preview of the Belgian Jupiler League

In the weekend of the 19th of August the Belgian Jupiler League will kick off again.
Let's see who are the favorites for taking the title, the relegation candidates and the European places.

The Jupiler League:
The competition is played with 18 teams and a home and away points. Besides the Champion and the cup winner only the number 2 and 3 will play in Europe next season.
The numbers 17 and 18 will directly relegate to the second Division (Exqui League from this season on).

Last season:
Surprisingly Standard Liege took the title last year. With Anderlecht on a second place and Club Brugge at third. The surprise of the season however was Cercle Brugge with a rookie coach and attractive football ending in spot number 4.
Fc Brussels and Sint Truiden relegated without a chance on another year in the Jupiler League.

The Championship candidates:
Standard Liege
I don't see how Standard Liege can prolong their title. Although (at the moment) no important player left the team, the coach did surprisingly.
The new coach is Lazlo Boloni. The have the advantage that the team is already played in but the big disadvantage that the will probably use another tactic.
Also a big disadvantage is that they probably will have a set back when the discovered that the CL is unreachable from them.

Anderlecht
For me personally the big favorite for next year. Their biggest loss is the move from Ahmed Hassan to Al Ahly but at the end of the seaon last year they played their best games without him. I think that the other players will be releaved a that new stars will step up the plate.
On the incomming side they did great things. Let me rephrase this to: they have bought players with great potential and these are proving them right during the friendly games.
They expect a lot from Mattias Suarez from Belgrano and Kanu from Barueri. But I think that the home crowd will quickly embrace Losada from GBA as their new favorite.

Club Brugge
After a disappointing season, which was saved by qualifying for Europe thx to the missteps of AA Gent and Cercle Brugge, they invested a lot in new players and released the weaker players of last season.
However when I look at their incoming transfers I don't see big names but with the budget available to them they bought in great. They expect that Akpala from Charlerloi will be the next topscores of the Jupiler League.
Their biggest advantage that they have above Anderlecht and Standard is their head coach. Maybe the best coach at the moment in Belgium with great tactical knowledge and the gift the keep all pressure away from the players.

The outsiders:
I see only one and that is Racing Genk. They have invested a lot. Not only in buying new players but also in extending the contracts of vital players. And after so many years of rumours they finally did buy Joao Carlos from Lokeren. On of the best, maybe the best central defender of the Jupiler League.

The odds for a 1 EURO bet:
To win the title Place 1-3
Anderlecht 1.70 1.12
Club Brugge 4.50 1.37
Standard Liege 5.00 1.42
Racing Genk 16.00 3.50

To relegate:
Tubize 1.75
Kortrijk 2.10
Dender FCV EH 3.25

I think that this will be the top 4:
1. Anderlecht
2. Club Brugge
3. Racing Genk
4. Standard Liege

So where will I put my money on:
1 EURO on Anderlecht to win the title
1 EURO on Racing Genk to end in the top 3.
1 Euro on Tubize to 1.75

Hope this helps,
Dremeber

Ricco, Fuck Off

In the beginning I had my doubts about the TDF and their doping program but they were spot on! Great job done.

Now what is their magic secret. First of all, the French doping labs are capable of tracing EPO 3 in the urine of the riders and almost nobody knew this. Secondly it is the only country where EPO 3 is on the doping list. All other countries are still debatting what the allowed % of this new EPO is allowed within the body.

While this is a complete blow for my bets for the Polka Dot Jersey I'm still delighted with the discoveries. On the other hand, there is back hope for my bet on the white Jersey!

Good luck,
Dremeber

Finally a goal to play for

I never had a real goal where I was playing for but this has changed. It is time for a new tele and the ones which I like aren't exactly the cheapest ones.
I hope that our tele will keep going until at least March next year, so I have until to collect the necessary funds. Like that will happen, lol.

It would be great if I could pay lets sat 20% of the tele with my sportsbook and poker winnings. For once this is a long term challenge in stead of my normal small ones.

In the mean time, my bets for the TDF aren't going great.
Yellow: Valverde -> possibility 0%
Green: McEwen -> possibility 5%
Polka dot: Soler or De la Fuente -> possibility 1%
White: Andy Schleck -> possibility 0%

Luckily my tennis bets are keeping my BR alive. Currently it is standing on 9 EURO with 2 tennis bets remaining.

So lets say that 9 euro is the BR at the start of my challenge!

Good luck,
Dremeber

Tour de France: Update

How are my TDF bets holding?
Before the tour I placed 4 bets, one EURO on a possible winner of each Jersey. Well, I had to place a new bet on the Polka dot jersey today cause Soler did leave the tour. So I did place a new bet, this time with De la Fuente as expected winner, good for 14 to 1.

My bet on the yellow jersey is on Valverde. Still possible. He is currently in 17 position a little bit more than a minute behind Evans.

My green jersey bet is McEwen but that doesn't seem going according to plan. I guess the only thing that can get him the jersey is that the others drop out. I expect that Cavendish and Freire will do this but then there is still Hushovd.

My money for the white jersey is on Andy Schleck. Everything is going according plan here.

Good luck,
Dremeber

Premier League, Bundesliga and Jupiler Pro League Prediction

Predictions matchday 15: Premier League Home Away 1X2 BTTS Over/Under 2.5 Correct Score Result Chelsea Newcastle 1 No Under 1-0 3-1 Brighto...