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Showing posts from 2006

Match Day 30 December 2007

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Last bets of the year. My chance to further improve my December stats, which are acceptable.

This weekend only matches in the Premier League and the Eredivisie will be played.



Chelsea(2) - Fulham FC(12) (Lost)
Second home game in 4 days at home for Chelsea. Chelsea lost 4 points at home in the last 3 games a draw against Arsenal and one against Reading (a surprise to me). Fulham on the other side wasn't capable of winning one of their last 6 away games. Chelsea cannot afford themselves to loose points again at home in their chase of Manchester United. Morinho will motivate his troops so that they will end the year with a victory.
Sheffield United(17) - Arsenal(3) (Lost)
Sheffield United is one of the strange team is you compare the points which they collected at home with the points collected away, they collected as many points away from home as at home namely 10. Arsenal has a strange season concerning the away games, they only won 5 out of 10 and lost 4. Not good enough for a team wh…

Single bet today

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I have to change my strategy. While I have an acceptable percentage of good bets always something goes wrong in my combos. Therefor, I will downscale my combos and do some single bets instead.

For today only 1 bet for the Dutch Eredivisie.


Fc Utrecht - Heracles Almelo -> Lost
I have placed 5€ @ 1.40 on FC Utrecht. So if won I would win 2 hole euros.
Why Utrecht? For the moment Utrecht has never lost at home against Heracles. Heracles also lost their 6 last away games. All with at least a 2 goal difference. Utrecht, on the other side, won their 4 last home games. Reason enough to believe that Utrecht will win this game.

Good Luck,
European Sports Betting

Match day 26 December 2006

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First of all I want to wish all my reader a Merry Christmas. Por mi lectores espagnoles: Feliz Navidad. En natuurlijk een Zalig Kerstmis.


Within the Netherlands the match day is divided over 26 and 27 of Decemeber.
FC Groningen(7) - Sparta Rotterdam (14) (Lost)
The head to head is in balance. The form is Groningen at the moment is not what it supposed to be. They lost their last 2 home games against PSV and ADO. While Sparta is playing a lot better than in the beginning of the season I still have a firm believe that Groningen will win this one.
FC Utrecht(11) - Heracles Almelo(15) (Lost)
The head to head stats tell us that Heracles was never capable of winning in Utrecht. This season they were even not capable of winning away from home which explain their position just above the relagation places. Utrecht on the other side won 6 of their 9 home games, including their last 4 one. I think that they will extend their home winning streak with one more.

This Dutch Como has a possible value of 2.…

Weekend 23-24 December 2006

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All,

In some European Countries the winter break has already started like Belgium, Germany and Spain, other countries like France and Italy have only one match day left this year before stopping their competition for a few weeks. And then you have the though ones like England who don't stop their league.

Cause it is alsmost Christmas 4 combos for this weekend. One per country where the competition is still playing.


Fulham(11) - West Ham United(Lost)
Fulham will win for the first time at home against West Ham this weekend. West Ham surprised last week with winning at home against Manchester United. But the effect of the manager change is gone now. Also from the 9 away games they played they lost 8 and drew once.
Liverpool(3) - Watford(20) (Won)
This season Liverpool hasn't lost at home within the Premier League. 7 of the 9 home game were won. They should not have any problem against relegation candidate number 1 Watford, who weren't capable of winning away from home.

This combo h…

Midweek 20 December 2006

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Hi all,

My weekend was not so bad but it could have been better if club Brugge hadn't lost . Did not see this one comming. Maybe it wasn't so smart to bet on a derby. It has learned my a lesson, let's see how long I will remeber this.

This midweek there is a lot of cup football and in Italy ans Spain a complete match day is played. While Barcelona maybe seems like nice odds I won't play them because of the possible jetlag.


Palermo(3) - Ascoli(18) (Won)
Ascoli wasn't capable yet of winning away from home and this will not change this match day. Palermo won 6 of their 8 last home games and lost the other 2. Palermo should have problems with Ascoli.


Real Madrid(3) - Recreativo de Huelva(8) (Lost)
If Real wins they will be at least one calendar day in front of rval Barcelona. This will motivate them enough to go for the win. After some lousy home games, Real now has a nice streak of 4 home wins in a row and they are going to extend this streak.
Sevilla(1) - Deportivo La Coru…

Weekend 17&18 December

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Finally I can announce that my previous blog post was for 100% correct.

Here we go again! As usual I will start of with my bets and my 3 combinations are placed at the bottom of the post.


Anderlecht(2) - Mons/Bergen(14) (Won)
Anderlecht is almost unbeatable at home within the Jupiler League, their only loss was against leader Genk. The away record from Bergen is not so impressive: 1 win, 2 draws and 5 losses. My money is on Anderlecht.
Cercle Brugge(17) - Club Brugge(3) (Lost)
Since Cercle has been promoted back to the Jupiler League they were not capable of winning against big brother Club. I don't think that this will change this Sunday. Normally Brugge is weaker away from home but they both play in the same stadion. Also a lot of players of Cercle are or injurid or suspended. Club Brugge is the one to bet on.


Mainz 05(18) - Bayern Munich(4) (Won)
Bayern cannot affort another misstep in the pursuit of the leaders of the Bundesliga. This should not be a problem against Mainz, who only w…

Matchday 5 Uefa Cup

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The last matchday of this year's UEFA cup group rounds. Some teams already know if they can prolong their UEFA cup season and some already know that they are eliminated. Others are still struggling to survive.

My 2 combinations:
Espanyol- Austria Magna Wien (Won)
Espaynol is already qualified for the next round and even sure of the first place within the group. So probably they will not play with all its star players but even with the substitutes they should able to win against Wien. Wien failed to collect one single point within this group, which is a surprise with Zulte Waregem also playing in this group. No, this proves that Wien is not good enough for this European campaign.

Feyenoord - Wisla Krakow (Won)
The number 4 receives the number 3. Within this group 2 qualifiers are already known, namely Nancy and Blackburn. Feyenoord and Wisla are fighting for the next ticket. I favor Feyenoord cause they have the home advantage and are focused on a good result after the out game in Nancy…

Recap of the weekend

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4 out of 6 correct, it has been worse. To bad that both my errors were in different combinations. While my percentage for December is good if I leave out the CL bets. But It always could get worse.


Most of 90% of the people who gamble on sport base their bets on instinct. While this can be good in some occasions it can be a real nightmare. If you don't know yet what to order from Santa Claus I can advise the book belong. It describes how bookies work and how you should interpret their odds.


Weekend 8-10 december 2006

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Only 2 combos for this weekend. I found it extreme hard to find the games where if I enough confidence in the outcome.


Westerlo(7) - Cercle Brugge(16) (LOST)
No doubt about it. Westerlo will win this home game. The 5 last away games were lost by Cercle and they will continue this streak. Also they were not able to score a single goal in these last 5 away games. Only tops teams have a change on winning in Westerlo and Cercle isn't one.


Bor. Mönchengladbach (16) - Mainz 05(18) (LOST)
Borussia lost 3 home games in a row after they won 3 home games in a row at home. Mainz only scored 2 draws away from home. My money is on Borussia because of the home advantage.


Tottenham (10) - Charlton (19) (WON)
It is time for Tottenham to work on these head-to-head statistics. Now is the chance. Charlton is fighting for survival within the premier league and is not playing well away from home. Tottenham on the other hand is almost unbeatable.
Bolton Wanderers (9) - West Ham United (WON)
While Bolton hasn&#…

Last matchday Champions League: the sequal

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Still nagging about the late goal Inter made. Incredible.

The combos for today.

First let's starts with the Bwin.com special.
Dynamo Kiev - Real Madrid (2.65, 3.25, 2.40)
Dynamo lost both other home games and have a goal difference from -11. Real is already qualified for the next round but I doubt it that they will loose a point in Kiev. I consider even the B-team of Real better than Kiev.
Lyonnais - Steaua (1.30, 4.50, 9.00)
While Lyonnais is already qualified on probably will not play with all its star player I don't believe that they will give the game away. For a player close to the first team it is honour to play Champions League and they want to show their qualities to the European forum. Steaua is already qualified for the next Uefa Cup round.
This combination has a possible pay-out of 3.12€. If you want to play this combo just mark the correct boxes in the Bwin banner above, insert the correct betting amount and collect your winnings.

Combo2:
For combo 2 I only took matches f…

Final Matchday Champions League

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Today the final matchday of the Champions League. While some teams are already qualified other still have a small change but a victory is mandatory.

First lets start with the Bwin.com special.
Barcelona - Werder Bremen (1.40, 4.00, 7.15)
Werder will qualify with a draw of a victory. But winning against Barcelona is not so easy, certainly not if Barca needs to win to qualify themselves. My money is on Barca.

Bayern Munich - Inter Milan (2.10, 3.20, 3.20)
Both teams are already qualified for the next round, so it is only a matter of prestige. In such games it is more important for the home team to not loose. So I predict a draw or a small victory for Bayern. Cause I don't believe in betting on draws my money is on Bayern.

This combination pays-out 2.94€. If you want to play this bet. Simply check to correct boxes above, in the Bwin banner and place your bet.

Roma - Valencia (1.50, 3.35, 9.00)
I like to bet 0n Valencia but for once I will place a bet against them. Valencia is already qualifi…

Weekend 1-3/12/2006

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The last month of the year.


3 games for this Friday special. I consider this combination pretty save but I cannot blame you if your trust in my predictions has decreased.
Beveren(14) - Anderlecht(2) (6.00, 3.40, 1.60) (2/2/7)
It is more than 4 years ago that Anderlecht lost in Beveren. If Anderlecht wins it will put all the pressure on KRC Genk. After a scoreless draw in Standard and a 2-1 defeat within Gent, it is time for Anderlecht to start colleting points away from home again. Beveren will be the sitting duck this evening.
Mainz o5(18) - Vfb Stuttgart (3) (3.65, 3.30, 2.00) (0/0/2)
Mainz does not have enough quality for the Bundesliga. The team of Stuttgart seems well balanced. After Werder Bremen Stuttgart has the second best offense of the league (27 goals). The defense of Mainz is one of the lesser ones of the league (25 goals against).

This combination pays-out: 3.20€. I consider this easy money.

My other bets for this weekend. Because I will try to pick "easier" games wit…

Statistics December 2006

FootballCompetitionPredictionsCorrectFalsePercentage
Bundesliga52
3
40%Jupiler League6
3
3
50%Premier League10
7
3
70%Ligue 14
2
2
50%International


00%Serie A6
5
1
83,33%Eredivisie9
4
5
44,44%Primera Division4
3
1
75%Others17
10
7
58,82%Total61
36
25
59,02%
Tennis
CompetitionPredictionsCorrectFalsePercentageWTA


00%ATP


00%Total


00%
Overall
CompetitionPredictionsCorrectFalsePercentageSingle advise
61
36
25
59,02%Combinations22
4
18
18,18%Single bets
1
0
1
0%

Uefa Cup Matchday 4: The sequal

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Ok I admit the X2 bet on Brugge was a bit risky. And everybody who watched the game should agree that a draw or even a win for Brugge was possible. A lot of refs in the world would have shown the red card to Runje. And you can discus the penalty for Besiktas, but I cannot say that Besiktas did not deserver to win.

The draw of AZ was a bigger surprise! But that's live.

So all my combinations are lost. So I will create another one (OK two) for tonight.

The first combination is the Bwin special as shown above within the banner.
Ajax - Espanyol (1.65, 3.40, 4.70)
No question about it. Ajax will win. They have to to avoid a crisis. After losing back to back against PSV ans surprisinly against Sparta last weekend, it is time for a morale booster. And lets be honnest Espanyol is not the top of the Primera Division. The only downside is that Ajax will play without Stam, the leader of the defence.
Eintracht Frankfurt - Newcastle (1.70, 3.50, 4.20)
Frankfurt has to win to keep a chance on qualific…

Uefa Cup Matchday 4

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As promised my bets for the Uefa Cup Matchday 4. The odds are pretty high for almost all matches indicating that it avery difficuly games. Besides the Uefa Cup matches there are also 6 games in the Premier league.

Uefa Cup matchday 4:
My selection.

AZ - Slovan Liberec (1.42, 3.95, 7.50)
AZ at home is a very strong team. AZ only needs one more point to be absolytly sure of the next round. But they won't settle for one point and also the home crowd will be only satisfied with a victory. Life is not easy and cannot be trown in statistics but: AZ defeated Braga at home with 3-0, while Braga won easily 4-0 against Liberec at home. I have no doubt that AZ will win.

Osasuna - OB (1.45, 3.90, 7.00)
Osasuna has to win to keep a change on qualification. Depending on the result of Lens, OB can qualify for the next round with only one single point. But I don't believe that they will gain this point in Osasuna.

Celta de Vigo - Fenerbache (1.73, 3.45, 4.50)
Celta only has a change of qualification …

Finally Success

Finally!!!!
The first time since I opened my blog I can report good figures. 7 of my 8 predictions were correct. I felt pretty save on Sunday that it would be a 100% score but Ado Den Haag did not like that idea. They surprised friend and enemy and won 2-5 in Groningen. conclusion: I will never place a bet again on a match were one of the teams has a new head coach.

2 out of my 3 combinations were correct. The Friday special and Comb02. The combined pay-out was 4.94 euro while my 3 bets were 3 euro in total. So a profit of 1.94 euro.

Most time this weekend was past trying to connect my laptop through a bluetooth wireless network to the Internet via my desktop. But for the moment no success :(.

Tomorrow my predictions will follow for this mid week uefa cup match day 4. Just took a quick look at the odds. They can be very promising but they also indicate that I will be very though to choose the correct combinations.

My stats are updated weekly. You can visit them via the permalink in the si…

Weekend 24-26/11/2006

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I cannot complain about the midweek bets although it could be better. I won 2 of my 4 combinations. Yesterday I went to Club Brugge again Dinamo Bucaresti. Great game with a 1-1 result giving Brugge less than they deserved. My advice for this weekend. Hoping to improve my bankroll, stats and your faith in my advice.
A special low risk bet for the games on Friday evening:Schalke 04 (1) – Bochum (16) (1.37, 4.25, 9.00) (4/2/2)
The proud leader of the Bundesliga may kick off Matchday 14 at home against VF Bochum. Schalke is still undefeated at home this season and only allowed a draw against Bayern Munich. Last week bochum surprised everybody, including themselves, by winning at home against Eintracht Frankfurt. But I don’t see how they will be capable of returning home with a point or even a victory. Schalke 04 will win easily.FC Twente (5) – Vitesse (12) (1.50, 3.60, 6.25) (5/5/4)
Twente still has to loose at home this season while Vitesse only has one away victory against Sparta Rotte…

Uefa Cup

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While the Uefa Cup has nice odds for a lot a games I only picked three. I find thos games difficult to predict. Especially since the introduction of the poule system. Some games I thought about but left out are Club Brugger, cause I don't like betting against or for teams in the Uefa cup which are from my home country (I would not place a rational bet but will be influenced by my feelings), and Nancy. While the odds for Nancy are very good for an away win (3.25€) I decided to leave it out cause I allready have picked 3 more predictable games.

Parma - Heereveen (1.80, 3.30, 4.40)
While the team of Heereven is good enough for the Eredivisie it fails within Europe. Even within the Eredivisie it is diffcult for Heereveen to win their away games. Parma on the other side is struggling within the Seri A and still have to win their first match this month. But it is almost not possible to compare the Seri A with the Eredivisie. Pama should not have any problems with Heereveen.

Sparta - Ajax …

Champions League Matchday 5

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All,

A lot of midweek games this week. Within the Champions League we have Matchday 5 and in the Uefa cup it's matchday 3.

Today we will concentrate on matchday 5.

First let's start with the Bwin.com Tueday special. This one is a little bit tricky but you'll never know.

Real Madrid - Lyon (1.90, 3.25, 3.75)
The number 1 in group E visits number 2. Real lost 2-0 in Lyon, but is now playing much better. Van Nistelrooy has fitted in and scoring goals on command. Both team are already qualified for the next round so it is just a matter of proud. The fans of Real expect a nothing less than a victory therefor I favour Real.
Celtic - Man U (4.00, 3.20, 1.85)
Nice odds for Manchester. The home game of Manchester was a beautiful game to watch. Man U won with 3-2. Within Scotland Celtic is undefeated for 13 games but in Europe the story is different (won 2. lost2). For the moment they are still unbeaten in the home games in this campaign but Man U will end this streak.

This combination wi…

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Weekend 17-19/11/2006

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With again renewed confidence I will post my bets for this weekend again. While my percentage for the single matches is not so bad, my combinations are. Let's see if we can change this this weekend.


Lierse SK - Germinal Beerschot (3.70, 3.30, 1.95) (7/9/2)
Don't let the h2h foul you. Lierse is currently last within the Jupiler League with only 2 points out of 12 games. In the beginning of this week Lierse fired their Coach Trost, who was probably the most motivated coach for the first division. GBA on the other hand is figthing back after a bad streak with as deepest point the elimination against KV Mechelen in the Cup. I strongly favour GBA.


Marseille(8) - Valenciennes(15) (1.45, 3.80, 8.00) (-)
Valenciennes lost their last 6 games away and were only capable of scoring 3 times in those 6 games. Marseille won 4 of their 6 home games, the only lost against Lyon (1) and Lorient (9), which were their last two home games. So they defenitly need to win this one and they will. They the …