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Showing posts from January, 2015

Week 5 bets

After the loosing week, let's see if we can turn things around.

I did place the following bets on the European tour @ Dubai Classic. The major of the middle east.
Win bets 0.5 pts per bet:
H. Stenson @ 13.
L. Oosthuizen @ 29 (Did not start)

Place 5 bets also 0.5 pts per bet:
L. Oosthuizen @ 6,6 (Did not start)
T. Fleetwood @ 14,2
E. Grillo @ 11
T. Olesen @ 14 (Missed cut)
N. Colsaerts @ 13

Place 10 bet 0.5 pts:
R. Rock @ 15

Update after cut: Only bets still can be won. That is a top 10 place for Rock and a Top 5 place for E. Grillo. I know still 36 holes to play but I can't imagine that Stenson wins the tournament. He is six shots behind.
Fleetwood already 9 shots behind fifth place. Colsaerts also 6 shots behind the predicted place, but he had his bad day already, made his cut, so he play without pressure and climb the ladder on moving day.

My 8 to wacth bets:
Wattel @ 17
E. Grillo @ 11
T. Pieters @ 11
Pepperel @ 14,2
Hatton @ 19
Broberg @ 41
Bjerregaard @ 81

Update after …

Week 4: first loosing week of the year

A loss of 5.84 pts means the first loosing week of the year.

21 bets played. 15 golf bets, 5 football bets and one tennis bet.
Only 2 winners. This was the fourth place of Eddy Pepperel at Qatar and a single bet on a football game.
Add this 9.38 pts pay-out to the return of 0,78 pts on the 5 goalscorer system bet and we have a combined return of 10,16 pts and a negative ROI of 36,5%.

You know what is frustating?
In the beginning of the year I did line up 8 players without a victory on the European tour. All promising players. Having the idea the bet on these player. I was still working out how I would bet on them, besides the regular golf bets.
If I would have played these from the beginning of the year I would have made a profit of 21,5 pts.
I will be betting on these players, each tournament this will play this year. On each of them a 0.5 pts bet for a top 5 place.

Good luck,
Dremeber


Week 3 recap: second profit in a row!

Let's start with the figures:
Bets placed: 17Total Ante: 14,25 ptsReturn: 21,21 ptsP/L: + 6,96 ptsROI: 48,84%.
Second week in a row with a profit. Couldn't start the year better. While there was profit, it was a bad week.
Only 1 winning bet. Namely the place bet on Thomas Pieters.
All other golf bets didn't return anything.
On the football market is was a week without any winning bet. Played 5 bets. All non system bets had one correct prediction on the ticket.
It could have been otherwise, but Club Brugge missed chance after chance, resulting in 2 loosing tickets.
A beginner error I guess, when playing 5 tickets it is not done, to have 1 match on 3 of them.

The system goalscoring bet was maybe the most disappointing one of the all. Only a return of 0,71 pts.

Still satisfied with the profit, for sure cause it was the second week in a row since the new betting plan. Still to early to draw any conclusions. Profit for the year at the moment is 15,18 pts.
Should help if I could…

Week 3 Football bets

Here are my selections for week 3.
As mentioned in the staking plan, per weekend 3 bets.

Bet 1:
Club Brugge - KV Mechelen :1 (1,37)
QPR - Manchester United: 2 (1,6)
Combined odds: 2,19
Ante 1 point

Bet 2:
Sp. Lokeren - KRC Genk: Both team to score (1,83)
Waasland Beveren - Zulte Waregem: Away team to score (1,23)
Anderlecht - Sk Lierse: Home team wins at least one half (1,09)
Moeskroen - AA Gent: Away team to score (1,17)
Club Brugge - KV Mechelen : Over 2.5 goals (1,59)
Combined odds: 4,56
Ante 1 point

Bet 3:
This is a system bet!
Castillo to score (Club Brugge) (odds: 2,23)
Mandžukić to score (Atletico) (odds: 1,69)
Lukaku to score (Everton) (odds: 2,8)
Origi to score (LOSC Lille) (odds: 4)
Chadli to score (Tottenham) (odds: 3,8)
Combined odds for all correct: 114,11
Ante 3.5 points. (0.2 points on the singles, 0,1 points on the doubles, 0,1 points on the trebles and 0,5 points on the quintet.)
If three of these player manages to score, than a profit is guaranteed.
I will give this…

Golf bets week 3

Here are my golf selections for the Sony open and the Abu Dhabi championship.

Sony open:
To win:
J. Day: 0,5 point, odds 13
C. Kirk: 0,5 point, odds 17

Place 5:
C. Howell III: 1 point, odds 9
T. Finau: 0,5 points, odds 17
B. Weekly: 0,5 points, odds 17
R. Henly: 1 point, odds 6,6

Abu Dhabi:
To win:
Cabrera-Bello: 0,25 points, odds 51

Place 5:
Cabrera-Bello: 0,75 points, odds 11
C. Schwartzel: 0,5 points, odds 8
R. Fowler: 1 point, odds 3,8
T. Pieters: 0,5 points, odds 41
N. Colsaerts: 1 point, odds 14,2

Good luck,
Dremeber

Weekend recap and staking plan finalized

I turned out to be a good weekend.

7 bets placed on Golf and 1 system bet on football.

PGA Tour:0.5 points Win bet on Matsuyama (17) -> Lost
1 point Place (5) bet on Reed -> Won (4 points)
1 point Place (5) bet on Day -> Won (2.5 ponts)


European Tour:Bets where placed after the second round.
1 point Win bet on Sullivan -> Won (4,35 points)
1 point Place (5) bet on M. Benavides -> Won (5 points)
1 point Place (5) bet on A. Tadini -> Won (1 point due to dead heat rules)
1 point Place (5) bet on C. Net -> lost

So a profit of 10,1 points on Golf, with a ROI of 155%.


Football:A 3,5 point system scoring bet on 5 players.
Menez from Ac Milan and Diego Costa from Chelsea did find the net.
Batschu from Marseille, Benteke (Aston Villa) and Caslos Bacca (Sevilla) could net one in.
A return of 1,62 points.


Total for the weekend:Ante: 10 points
Return: 18.22 points
Profit: 8.22 points
ROI: 82%.

Staking plan for the comming weeks, special events not included!Golf:
Maximum 4 points on the PGA Tour

I'm fed up with being a loosing sportsbetter ...

... time to turn things around!

But how? That's the question!

Looking back!Don't know how long I'm playing with sportsbetting, but for around a year of 10!
I have tried doing my researches before placing bets, setting up a bankroll management, spreading my bankroll over different bookmakers, grinding the internet for golden tips, doing an analysis of my previous bets and tons of other things. But still I have to admit that I'm a loosing gambler.
While my antes are on the low side, I did had some great winnings! Look for instances at my winning supertoto tickets!

Where did it go wrong?Most of the time it was just pure discipline!  Forgetting my own bankrule management, placing impulsive bets, betting on markets not known to me.
The combination of the 3 is killing.
What did I do correct?I did manage to set up a bankroll management.
I never played with money needed for real live expenses.
I do understand how bookmakers work and what the odds do mean!
I'm not addicted! I can do…