Monday, March 26, 2007

Still alive and kicking

No the blog is not dead. It is just on a break. I guess for one more week.

In the weekend we completed to move to a new house. Completed is a big word. The furniture is now there, but still there are a lot of things in the appartment that we have to bring over.

For the moment I don't have an internet access at home. So no time to predict the score of next week friendlies.

cheers,
Dremeber

Wednesday, March 14, 2007

Busy, busy, busy

So busy that I forgot the Uefa Cup.
Had to install a new LAN at home, cause my modem died on me after a power failure caused by a broken boiler.

Besides that I have to arrange everything for the move of Saturday the 24th of April. You can't imagine what kind of paperwork you have to fill in. Tomorrow we will sign the deal and get the keys of the house and then the real hassle can begin.

For this week I will only bet on the weekend games.

Cheers,
Dremeber

Monday, March 12, 2007

Indian Wells

We are getting used to it :(.
It feels like bad beats at Poker. Sevilla not capable of winning, as GBA and Lens. Strange results this weekend.

Okay back to Tennis, let's see if I can change the red figure at the bottom of the post into a green one. Cause it is not going so good at the moment, I will stick with single bets. The positive side of this is that the risk is much lower, the other side of the medal is that it will take me longer to get back in the green figures. But sportsbetting is a marathon, not a sprint.

Bartoli (23) - Safina (12) (3.55, 1.28) (-/-) -> lost (2-0)
My money is on Safina. She's playing very well this year. Bartoli is losing at lot lately against player which are much lower ranked than she is.

Golovin (19) - Stosur (29) (1.28,3.55) (0/1) -> Won(2-0)
While the head to head stats favour Stosur, I favour Golovin. Stosur is coming back from an injury. After an injury, does not matter how small it was, it is always a mental thing. Didn't I start to early, etc. Against a much weaker player this will not influence the game but against a though opponent it will.

My bets:
A 1€ single bet on Safina with a possible pay-out of 1.28€. -> lost
A 1€ single bet on Golovin with a possible pay-out of 1.28€. -> won

Total at stake: 2€
Possible pay-out: 2.56€
Actual pay-out: 1.28€
Profit/loss this post: 0.72
Profit/loss this month: 1.90

Good Luck,
European Sports Betting

Friday, March 09, 2007

Weekend bets

Made a profit yesterday of a stunning 0.30€. Was hoping on a little bit more but hey we can't have everything.

For this weekend I have 4€ available. 2 combo's and 2 single bets.

Jupiler league
Charleroi (6) - Mons (12) (Won(1-0))
I was doubting about this game but I don't see any reason not to bet on it. While Charleroi has a home reputation, Mons certainly does not have an away reputation. They couldn't win their last 6 home games.

Moeskroen (15) - GBA (8) (Lost(1-0))
I really like how that GBA is playing. And finally they have two scoring strikers. It took Cavens have a season before scoring his first goal, but now he's scoring with his eyes closed and giving away assist like he has never done before. Together with Sterchele they are a nightmare for each team in the Jupiler League, based on this I expect that they will win at Moeskroen.

Bundesliga
Nürnberg (4) - Eintracht Frankfurt (16) (Lost(2-2))
Nürnberg has to play on Friday, which gives them an excellent chance to put pressure Leverkussen with whom they are fighting for the last European ticket. But they have never won at home against Frankfurt, but for everything there is a first time and I hope it will be this weekend. Cause they have won their last 4 home games I'm positive about it.

Ligue 1
Lens (2) - Sedan (20) (Lost(1-1))
I cannot believe that Lens will loose points against Sedan. If they want the CL tickets, which is available for the second place, they have to win the home games against the 3 last of the Ligue 1.
Calcio
Reggina (17) - Lazio (4) (Won(2-3))
Very nice odds for Lazio Roma. I cannot give a good reasening for this but I think that Lazio will win this one. Don't be fooled by the place of Reggina in the ranking, cause they had an 11 point deduction, without the would be standing 8.

Eredivisie
Heereveen () - RKC waalwijk (17) (Won(1-0))
I really have no idea why the odds for Heereveen are so high but I will not complain. Heereveen has more than 80% chance to win this match so I guess it is a no brainer. RKC couldn't win away from home this season and Heereveen has a good home reputation.

Primera Divsion
Gimnastic (19) - Sevilla (1) (Lost(1-0))
With the topper Real - Barca on the schedule this is an excellent opportunity for Sevilla to take more distance from Barca.

My bets:
A 1€ single bet on GBA with a possible pay-out of 2.60€. -> Lost
A 1€ combo on Charleroi, Sevilla and Heereveen with a possible pay-out of 3.71€. -> lost
A 1€ combo on Lazio and Nürnberg with a possible pay-out of 6.08€. -> lost
A 1€ sinble bet on Lens with a possible pay-out of 1.55€. -> lost

If 2 of these bets are correct, I will make a profit this weekend again. Should be possible with the 2 single one. It would be very nice If Lazio and Nürnberg can do me a favor.

Total at stake: 4€
Possible pay-out: 13.94€
Actual pay-out: 0€
Profit/loss this post: 4
Profit/loss this month: 1.18

Good Luck,
European Sports Betting

Thursday, March 08, 2007

Uefa Cup

Was a little bit surprised by the draw of AC Milan during regular time.

Today 8 nice UEFA Cup games. All with nice odds. So a lot of potential for wins but also for big losses.










S.C. Braga - Tottenham (Won (2-3))
Very nice odds for Tottenham. enough to place a bet on. The keep the combo safe I will play this one as a single bet.

Maccabi Haifa - Espanyol (Lost(0-0))
Again nice odss for the visiting team, who should be capable of winning in Israel. Despite the confidence I have in Espanyol, I will also place a single bet on this one.


My bets:
A 1€ single bet on Tottenham with a possible pay-out of 2.30€. -> won
A 1€ single bet on Espanyol with a possible pay-out of 2.25€. -> lost

Last night my ADSL modem died on me. So I will have restricted internet access for the next weeks. I don't know if it I should buy a Wireless ADSL router cuase my ISP has the idea that it can't garantee ADSL service to my new address.


Total at stake: 2€
Possible pay-out: 4.55€
Actual pay-out: 2.30€
Profit/loss this post: 0.30
Profit/loss this month: 2.82

Good Luck,
European Sports Betting

Wednesday, March 07, 2007

Ac Milan and Manchester United

61
I just forget the CL yesterday, which was a good thing cause I wanted to bet on Lyon. Phew.

Champions LeagueI have a good feeling in AC Milan and Manchester United today. Ac Milan has to win against Celtic to qualify after the scoreless draw. Manchester United does not need to win to qualify but will win to satisfy the home crowd.
The odds for both teams are the same, 1.37 for a home win.

Manchester United - Lille (Won(1-0))
AC Milan - Celtic (Lost(0-0))

Maybe better to stay away from Arsenal - PSV. Arsenal has to win and PSV is very good in the counter attack. With Kone they have a suited striker for this. In normal situation Arsenal should win this game, but how longer it takes them to score the opening goal, how bigger the confidence of PSV will become. If it is still 0-0 at half time, I think PSV will qualify.

My bets:
A 1,22€ combo on Ac Milan and Manchester United with a possible pay-out of 2.29€. -> lost

Total at stake: 1.22€
Possible pay-out: 2.29€
Actual pay-out: Pending€
Profit/loss this post: Pending€
Profit/loss this month: 3.74

Good Luck,
European Sports Betting

Friday, March 02, 2007

First bets of the month

A new month, new bets. Let's see if we can make more profit as last month.

Not a lot of interesting games to place a bet on this weekend. At least that is my idea. Lot of games where the outcome will be difficult to predict, meaning lots of big winning capabilities.

Jupiler league
AA Gent (4) - Lierse (18) (Won (4-0))
This one should be an easy Win for AA Gent. While the quality of Lierse improved after the winter break there is still not enough quality to survive, also it seems that they are playing without passion. Gent is also out on revenge after 3 losses in a row.

Bundesliga
Werder Bremen (3) - Bochum (15) (Won(3-0))
Also this one should result in an easy victory for the home team. But in the bundesliga there are no easy games. The head to head statistics back me up on this one. But I wouldn't be surprised if Bochum will win for the first time in Werder after I placed the bet :). Still my money is on Werder.

Dortmund (9) - Cottbus (12) (Due to a mistake when registering my bets, I made a mistake a took Werder twice -> void)
Cottbus is one of the weakest away teams from the bundesliga, while Dortmund is at home above average. In 80% of the cases Dortmund will win this games. Therefor with these odds it is a good bet.

Premier League
West Ham (19) - Tottenham (9) (Won(3-4))
The most difficult bet for this weekend. My money will be an the Hotspurs. West Ham is sliding down the table, while Tottenham won their last 3 games. Tottenham scores in most of their away games and West Ham have troubles with finding the net (no goals in their last 3 games).

Calcio
AC Milan (6) - Chievo (15) (Won(1-0))
After a bad season start AC Milan in now on cruise control. Ronaldo puts extra weight in the attack and scores easily. Nope, I don't see how Chievo will return to Verona with one or more points.

Primera Divsion
Valencia (3) - Celta de Vigo (15) (Won(1-0))
Valencia my favorite team in Spain, which makes it extreme difficult to try to find a good Valencia bet. While Valencia in within the top 3 if we only would could the home games, Celta is fourrth in the away table. But Valencia will be motivated, cause with the clash between Sevilla and Barcelona they can be the winnar of the weekend with a victory. The head to head stats increases my believe in a victory for Valencia.

My bets:
Combo 1: a 1€ bet on AC Milan, AA Gent and Werder with a possible pay-out of 2.46€. -> won
Combo 2: a 1€ bet on Werder and Valencia wit a possible pay-out of 1.98€. -> won
Single 1: a 1€ bet on Tottenham with a possible pay-out of 2.30€. -> won

The bloglisting:
More and more blogs are placed on the sportsbetting bloglisting. We now have traffic figures around 250 visits a day, which is far more than I expected 8 days after opening.
So, if you have a sportsbetting blog, make sure that you add it to: Sports Betting Blog Listing.


Total at stake: 3€
Possible pay-out: 6.74€
Actual pay-out: 6.74€
Profit/loss this post: 3.74
Profit/loss this month: 3.74

Good Luck,
European Sports Betting

Thursday, March 01, 2007

Looking back at February

Last month was not super and it was not bad.
I ended up with a 11 eurocent profit. Better than a loss I guess.

50% of my combinations were correct and 60% of my single bets.

The best markets were:
Tennis -> 13 bets -> 13 correct
The Premier League -> 5 bets -> 4 correct
The Jupiler league -> 6 bets -> 5 correct

But still there is lots of space for improvements. I wasn't capable of prediction a correct match for the Eredivisie and la Ligue 1.

Also for the first time I made a profit in the tipster competition in which I participate. I made a profit of £1,147.

So for this month the goal is to get 5€ profit and qualify for one of the prices in the tipster competition.

Good Luck,
Dremeber