Uefa Cup Matchday 4: The sequal

Uefa CupOk I admit the X2 bet on Brugge was a bit risky. And everybody who watched the game should agree that a draw or even a win for Brugge was possible. A lot of refs in the world would have shown the red card to Runje. And you can discus the penalty for Besiktas, but I cannot say that Besiktas did not deserver to win.

The draw of AZ was a bigger surprise! But that's live.

So all my combinations are lost. So I will create another one (OK two) for tonight.

The first combination is the Bwin special as shown above within the banner.
Ajax - Espanyol (1.65, 3.40, 4.70)
No question about it. Ajax will win. They have to to avoid a crisis. After losing back to back against PSV ans surprisinly against Sparta last weekend, it is time for a morale booster. And lets be honnest Espanyol is not the top of the Primera Division. The only downside is that Ajax will play without Stam, the leader of the defence.
Eintracht Frankfurt - Newcastle (1.70, 3.50, 4.20)
Frankfurt has to win to keep a chance on qualification. Newcastle on the other side was the first team the qualify for the next round after 3 victories. While an English team always wants to win, the motivation for this game will be a little bit lower. For the moment I think that Newcastle wants to concentrate on the premier league, where they are standing at a disappointing 17th place. Also not forget that it is almost impossible to defeat a motivated German team at home.

This combination is worth 2.81€. If you want to play this combination simply select the bets within the Bwin banner and place your bet. You won't regret it.

Now for Combination 2, I'm going to take a little more risk for once.
Wisla - Basel (X2 -> 1.56)
I'm confident that Basel is not going to loose within Kraków. The Swiss competition is better than everybody thinks. A proof of that is the qualification of the National team for the world cup. If Basel wants to qualify there's no other option than winning.
Mlada Bolislav - PSG (2.35, 3.20, 2.85)
PSG has no other option than winning this game. PSG had a bad start within this group proved by the 2-4 loss at home against Tel Aviv. Bolislav also only has one point after a 1-1 draw in Bucuresti.
Celta de Vigo - Fenerbache (1.85, 3.45, 4.50)
Celta only has a change of qualification if they win this game. The previous home game ended in a draw against Eintracht while they lost in Newcastle. Fenerbache won at home against Palermo, while they lost 1-0 in Newcastle. I favor Celta based on the home advantage.

This combination pays-out: 8.23€ (Whooh let's hope!)

Good Luck,
European Sports Betting.

Uefa Cup Matchday 4

As promised my bets for the Uefa Cup Matchday 4. The odds are pretty high for almost all matches indicating that it avery difficuly games. Besides the Uefa Cup matches there are also 6 games in the Premier league.

Uefa Cup matchday 4:
My selection.

AZ - Slovan Liberec (1.42, 3.95, 7.50)
AZ at home is a very strong team. AZ only needs one more point to be absolytly sure of the next round. But they won't settle for one point and also the home crowd will be only satisfied with a victory. Life is not easy and cannot be trown in statistics but: AZ defeated Braga at home with 3-0, while Braga won easily 4-0 against Liberec at home. I have no doubt that AZ will win.

Osasuna - OB (1.45, 3.90, 7.00)
Osasuna has to win to keep a change on qualification. Depending on the result of Lens, OB can qualify for the next round with only one single point. But I don't believe that they will gain this point in Osasuna.

Celta de Vigo - Fenerbache (1.73, 3.45, 4.50)
Celta only has a change of qualification if they win this game. The previous home game ended in a draw against Eintracht while they lost in Newcastle. Fenerbache won at home against Palermo, while they lost 1-0 in Newcastle. I favor Celta based on the home advantage.

This combination would pay-out: 3,56€.

Ajax -Espanyol (1.72, 3.45, 4.70)
Ajax surprised this weekend by loosing away from Sparta Rotterdam, resulting in o zero points from the last 6 games. Cause the previous match in this compitetion also ended in a draw at Sparta Prague there only one option to satisfy the home crowd again and that is a victory.

Partizan Belgrado - Auxerre (x2 -> 1.58)
Everything is still possible in Group A. Three teams are battling for the last ticket to the next round. These team are Partizan, Auxerre and Livorno. Partizan receives Auxerre on Wednesday. While Auxerre is no in the greatest form of their lives I don't see them loose within Belgrado, therefor the X2 bet, with very great odds.

Besiktas - Club Brugge (X2 -> 1.74)
In group B only Tottenham is already placed for the next round. The 2 teams with the lesser odds are fighting for the last chance. Brugge has to win after a 1-1 draw against Dinamo. Besiktas lost in Dinami and away in Tottenham. A draw won't help any of the teams but a lot of times such games end in a draw. I picked Brugge based on their game this weekend against Zulte-Waregem with the back-up of a draw.

This combination is worth: 4.73€

Good Luck,
European Sports Betting

Finally Success

Finally!!!!
The first time since I opened my blog I can report good figures. 7 of my 8 predictions were correct. I felt pretty save on Sunday that it would be a 100% score but Ado Den Haag did not like that idea. They surprised friend and enemy and won 2-5 in Groningen. conclusion: I will never place a bet again on a match were one of the teams has a new head coach.

2 out of my 3 combinations were correct. The Friday special and Comb02. The combined pay-out was 4.94 euro while my 3 bets were 3 euro in total. So a profit of 1.94 euro.

Most time this weekend was past trying to connect my laptop through a bluetooth wireless network to the Internet via my desktop. But for the moment no success :(.

Tomorrow my predictions will follow for this mid week uefa cup match day 4. Just took a quick look at the odds. They can be very promising but they also indicate that I will be very though to choose the correct combinations.

My stats are updated weekly. You can visit them via the permalink in the sidebar.

European Sports Betting

Weekend 24-26/11/2006

I cannot complain about the midweek bets although it could be better. I won 2 of my 4 combinations. Yesterday I went to Club Brugge again Dinamo Bucaresti. Great game with a 1-1 result giving Brugge less than they deserved.

My advice for this weekend. Hoping to improve my bankroll, stats and your faith in my advice.


A special low risk bet for the games on Friday evening:

Schalke 04 (1)Bochum (16) (1.37, 4.25, 9.00) (4/2/2)
The proud leader of the Bundesliga may kick off Matchday 14 at home against VF Bochum. Schalke is still undefeated at home this season and only allowed a draw against Bayern Munich. Last week bochum surprised everybody, including themselves, by winning at home against Eintracht Frankfurt. But I don’t see how they will be capable of returning home with a point or even a victory. Schalke 04 will win easily.

FC Twente (5) – Vitesse (12) (1.50, 3.60, 6.25) (5/5/4)
Twente still has to loose at home this season while Vitesse only has one away victory against Sparta Rotterdam. But Twente at home is incredible strong this season; this is proved by the 7-1 victory against FC Groningen. This home game will again result in a victory for the home team.

This combination (with a very low risk) pays out 2.06€.

My regular weekend bets.

Jupiler league
STVV (16) – Cercle Brugge (13) (2.00, 3.30, 3.55) (0/4/1)
STVV presented their new head coach in the beginning of the week (Henk Houwaert). STVV won last week at Standard. It was a deserved victory although the first goal of STVV was pure luck. In the previous season STVV was known for the home reputation, after 2 wins in a row it is time to bring this old reputation back to life. For their 6 away games, Cercle only won one (at Zulte Waregem). Although Cercle always looses away with only one goal difference, I don’t see them stealing a point at STVV.

Bundesliga
Werder Bremen (2) – Arminia Bielefeld (6) (1.42, 4.00, 8.00) (5/1/0)
In the Champions League Werder won 1-0 against Chelsea, which is an indication how strong they are at home. Bielefeld stats away are 1 win, 3 draws and 2 games lost. Bremen won 3 games at home, lost 2 and drew 1. While the stats indicate that a draw is perfectly possible, I favor Werder for a small victory.

Calcio

Lazio (10) – Ascoli (17) (1.45, 3.65, 9.25) (1/0/0)
Ascoli only was gained 2 points away from home, while Lazio only lost one of their home games. I favor Lazio because they have a stronger team then Ascoli, they have the home advantage and they have won their last 2 games. Also it is from half September ago that Lazio lost a home game and Ascoli will not break this streak.

Eredivisie
FC Groningen (6) – ADO Den Haag (18) (1.30, 4.50, 9.00) (4/0/0)
All previous encounters were won by Groningen and they will do so again this weekend. Last home game Groningen won 4-1 against Willem II. Groningen scored an impressive 18 goals in their 6 home games while ADO only scored three away goals from 6 matches this season. ADO has appointed a new head coach this weekend as a result the players will be extra motivated to fight for their place within the team but this will not be enough. I predict an easy victory of Groningen.

Primera Divsion
Barcalona (1) – Villareal (8) (1.40, 4.15, 8.35) (3/2/2)
As you can see from the Head2Head stats Barca always has it difficult against Villareal at home. But the last victory of Villareal is from the season 2000/2001. The last 2 home games were easy wins for Barca and this weekend also will be the same.

Premier League
Liverpool (10)Manchester City (12) (1.45, 3.85, 8.00) (7/0/1)
The last 3 encounters were close games but each time won by Liverpool with a one goal difference. Liverpool won its last 5 home games proving their strength at home. The 10th place as a result a sloppy play away from home. City on the other hand was not capable of winning its last 6 away games. My conclusion from this is a victory for Liverpool.

My combinations for this weekend:
Combo 1: Werder, Lazio and Barcelona : possible pay-out 2.88€
Combo 2: Liverpool, FC Groningen and STVV: possible pay-out 3.77€

Good luck,
European Sports Betting

Uefa Cup

While the Uefa Cup has nice odds for a lot a games I only picked three. I find thos games difficult to predict. Especially since the introduction of the poule system. Some games I thought about but left out are Club Brugger, cause I don't like betting against or for teams in the Uefa cup which are from my home country (I would not place a rational bet but will be influenced by my feelings), and Nancy. While the odds for Nancy are very good for an away win (3.25€) I decided to leave it out cause I allready have picked 3 more predictable games.

Parma - Heereveen (1.80, 3.30, 4.40)
While the team of Heereven is good enough for the Eredivisie it fails within Europe. Even within the Eredivisie it is diffcult for Heereveen to win their away games. Parma on the other side is struggling within the Seri A and still have to win their first match this month. But it is almost not possible to compare the Seri A with the Eredivisie. Pama should not have any problems with Heereveen.

Sparta - Ajax (3.40, 3.25, 2.05)
Sparta Prague is now the leader of the Gambrinus league after a miserable season start. Ajax on the other hand is playing a consistent season. Sparta needs to win to keep their hopes on qualification alive. Sparta already lost both other games within this group while Ajax had a deserved victory over Austria Wien. Ajax will win this easily.

PSG - H. Tel-Aviv (1.42, 3.90, 7.80)
PSG currently 14th within Ligue 1 receives H. Tel-Aviv from Israel. Hapoel lost away from Panathinaikos and had 2-2 draw at home against Rapid Bucuresti. PSG only played one game yet within this group, a scoreless draw at Rapid Bucuresti. I favor PSG cause of the home advantage.

My combination: Parma, Ajax and PSG pays-out 5.24

Good luck,
European Sports Betting

Champions League Matchday 5


All,

A lot of midweek games this week. Within the Champions League we have Matchday 5 and in the Uefa cup it's matchday 3.

Today we will concentrate on matchday 5.

First let's start with the Bwin.com Tueday special. This one is a little bit tricky but you'll never know.

Real Madrid - Lyon (1.90, 3.25, 3.75)
The number 1 in group E visits number 2. Real lost 2-0 in Lyon, but is now playing much better. Van Nistelrooy has fitted in and scoring goals on command. Both team are already qualified for the next round so it is just a matter of proud. The fans of Real expect a nothing less than a victory therefor I favour Real.
Celtic - Man U (4.00, 3.20, 1.85)
Nice odds for Manchester. The home game of Manchester was a beautiful game to watch. Man U won with 3-2. Within Scotland Celtic is undefeated for 13 games but in Europe the story is different (won 2. lost2). For the moment they are still unbeaten in the home games in this campaign but Man U will end this streak.

This combination will pay out 3.52 as you can see in the Bwin banner above. Try it out! I'm also going to make use of the free SMS service for this, cause I have Spanish Class at Tuesday evenings.

Group C:
Arsenal - Hamburg (1.20, 5.50, 14)
After the scoreless draw of last game Arsenal cannot afford to loose more points within this group. A win will give them an option on the next round. With this is the back of my mind I cannot image how Hamburg will be capable of drawing of even winning at Highburry. Hamburg wasn't capable yet of collection 1 point and has a goal difference of -7.

Group A:
Levski - Barcalona (15, 6, 1.15)
Levski so far lost all of their home games with at least a 2 goal difference. Barca has to win this game to keep a chance on qualifiying for the next round. Allthough a lot of key players of Barca are injurid they have enough of potential to win at Levski.

Group B:
Inter - Sporting (1.42, 3.80, 8)
After a bad start Inter is now second in the this group. They are out on revenge after the deserved 2-0 defeat within Lisboa. If they win they be qualified, losing or even a draw is almost equal to a degradation to the UEFA cup.

Group D:
Valencia - Olympiacos (1.45, 4.25, 9)
Valencia is already qualified for the next round and are trying to find their best form again. A game against Olympiacos is ideal for this. Valencia won in Greece with 2-4 and hasn't lost at home in this CL campaign. Olympiacos, managed by master tacticus Solied, collected a point in each away game but I don't think that they will do this trick again.

I'm gonna play this last 4 games in 2 combinations:
Combo 1: Barca and Arsenal -> 1.38
Combo 2: Inter and Valencia -> 2.06

Good Luck,
European Sports Betting

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European Sports Betting

Weekend 17-19/11/2006

With again renewed confidence I will post my bets for this weekend again. While my percentage for the single matches is not so bad, my combinations are. Let's see if we can change this this weekend.

Jupiler league
Lierse SK - Germinal Beerschot (3.70, 3.30, 1.95) (7/9/2)
Don't let the h2h foul you. Lierse is currently last within the Jupiler League with only 2 points out of 12 games. In the beginning of this week Lierse fired their Coach Trost, who was probably the most motivated coach for the first division. GBA on the other hand is figthing back after a bad streak with as deepest point the elimination against KV Mechelen in the Cup. I strongly favour GBA.

Ligue 1
Marseille(8) - Valenciennes(15) (1.45, 3.80, 8.00) (-)
Valenciennes lost their last 6 games away and were only capable of scoring 3 times in those 6 games. Marseille won 4 of their 6 home games, the only lost against Lyon (1) and Lorient (9), which were their last two home games. So they defenitly need to win this one and they will. They the stats in their favour.
Lens(3) - Nantes(18) (1.60, 3.40, 6.25) (4/4/5)
Very strange odds! Lens third in the competition pays-out 1.60 if they win against Nantes, which are 18th. Nantes did not win any away game this season and I don't see how they will win this one or even get a draw. The odds are probably so high because Nantes got 5 points out of their last 3 games. Neverless Lens will win easy in my opinion.

Calcio
Empoli(8) - AC Milan(16) (6.00, 3.25, 1.67) (0,2,3)
While Empoli is playing a good season, I don't fancy their stats for home games. They won once, draw 3 times and lost once. Milan currently has 7 points after their punisment of 8 points. if AC Milan does not win, a crisis is the correct word for the team. But I don't see this happen.

Bundesliga
Mainz 05(18) - Hamburger SV(15) (2.70, 3.25, 2.50) (1/0/1)
The number last against the number 15. Hamburger SV gave coach Doll credit until New Year. The caption Vander Vart indicated that the teams still have fait in Doll, Now it is time to prove it in this 6 points game. Mainz at home is dramatic this season, they lost their last 3 games.

Eredivisie
Ajax(2) - FC Twente(4) (1.40, 4.00, 7.25) (11/2/0)
Ajax lost last week against PSV, while Twente won in against Groningen with 7(seven)-1. Twente will come tot he Arena with very high hopes on at least one point, while Ajax is motivated to erase the defeat against PSV. If this match is played 100 times, Ajax will win 65, 25 will end in a draw and in 10 games Twente will win. Good enough to place my bet on ajax.
NEC(13) - Sparta (17) (1.60, 3.50, 5.20) (3/4/2)
Sparta this year is not capable of playing away, from their 6 away games, they were only capable of one taking a point back to Rotterdam. Also they got 18 goals against and only scored 4 times. (An average of 3 goals per game, which makes it difficult to win or draw). Nec only won 2 games of their 6 home games and have a goal difference at home form 0 (5-5).

Premier League
Chelsea(2) - West Ham(16) (1.20,5.60,16) (7/1/4)
Should be an easy victory for Chelsea, who won 5 out of their 6 last home games with a goal difference of =10. West Ham on the other side only got one point out of their 6 away games with a goal difference of -7. So an easy win for Chelsea in expected. Normally I would never have picked this game, but I have to make a winning combination.

My combinations for this weekend:
Combo 1: Lens , Ajax and Chelsea -> possible pay-out 2.68€
Combo 2: Nec, Marseille and GBA -> possible pay-out 4.52€
Combo 3: AC Milan and Hamburger SV -> possible pay-out 4.17€

Good luck and make the correct choices.
European Sports Betting
>

Statistics

Hi all,

Welcome to my stats page. On this page you can follow which betting types are successful for me! Nothing says more about a sports bettor than his stats, it says even more than the profit made or lost.
Also you can see how much I already collected or have lost.



Good luck,
Dremeber

Euro 2008 & International friendlies

All,

As told in my previous writing I will start again with renewed confidence.

This midweek there are a lot of international friendly games and some qualification games for Euro 2008. I don't fancy playing friendlies cause you never know which experiments will be done.

So let's start first with my bets for the qualification matches:
Combination 1:
Finland - Armenia (1.22, 5, 15)
Finland is out on revenge after the scoreless draw a month ago in Armenia. The last time Armenia visited Findland was 2 years ago for a WC qualification match in which they lost 3-1. I consider Finland now stronger than two years ago, so I predict an easy win.
Belgium - Poland (2.30, 3.05, 3.10)
Belgium cannot affort the loose some points again at home during this campaign. Poland is known for a bad out reputation, however in this campaign they won there only away game in Kazahstan. But still I favor Belgium.
Israel - Croatia (3.15, 2.90, 2.45)
Nice odds fro Croatia, current group leader after the won against England. Israel is standing third is this group but had easier matches (won in Estland and at home from Andorra and was capable of stealing a point a Russia) than Croatia, who won against England and Andorra and had a scoreless draw in Russia.
The possible pay-out for this combi is 6.87 for a 1€ bet.

Combination 2:
To get out of my bad streak, I decided to make a second combination from the matches above but with more security.
Belgium - Poland (1x -> 1.33)
This time I will play 1X, which still pays-out 1.33
Israel - Croatia (x2 -> 1.33)
I will go for x2, which also pays-out 1.33.
Cyprus - Germany (2/2 -> Germany will win the first half and the match -> 1.50)
I decided to enter this bet to increase the pay-out. I'm pretty sure that Germany will win this game. Germany already scored 18 goals in 3 matches and only Slovakia was capable of scoring against Lehmann. And only against Ireland they were not capable of scoring before the break.
Macedonia - Russia (x2 -> 1.18)
Russia should be capable of winning in Macedonia. But I don't underestimate Macedonia after their draw in England. But Russia has probably one of the best Coaches in the world (Hiddink) and last match they won their first match in this qualification campaign.
This combination pays-out 3.13 if correct for a 1€ bet.

Also a combination for the international friendlies.
France - Greece (1.45, 3.85, 7.50)
The runner up of the previous world cup against the current European champion. But from the team that won the European cup nothing much is left. I'll think that France will win.
Austria - Trinida Tobago (1.55, 3.55, 6.25)
Czech Republic - Denmark (1.80, 3.25, 4.50)
I don't see Denmark winning or playing a draw in the Czech Republic, even not for this friendly game.
This combination pays-out 4.10€ for a 1€ bet.

Some statistics :(
In total I have made 28 prediction from which 16 were correct (57,14%).
All predictions for England and Italy were correct, while the stats for the Bundesliga are less flattering 2 out 5. My tennis stats are also not bad at all, 5 out of 6 predictions were correct.

Good luck,
Dremeber

Black weekend

What can I say. I was so sure of my bets and predections but everything was against me this weekend. But I consider it as a lost battle but I did not loose the war yet :)

Three of my predictions were correct!
STVV walked over Lierse, while Manchester and Barcelona won with only one goal difference.

Hertha was capable of scoring three times at home (as more or less predicted) but I did not expect Bochum to also score three time.
Beveren maybe got their penalty for free but even without this AA Gent would have won this match.
The team of Dortmund decided to fight for their coach and they did it with success. Dortmund ended the undefeated streak of Werder at home.
I did not see anything of the Roda game, so cannot comment on that one, just as I cannot comment on the draw of Valencia.

But this midweek their are a lot of qualification matches for Euro 2008. A good time, to start with a new winning streak.

Tips for the Weekend

Oh man I completely screwed up yesterday. Sorry for that.
I have tried to find a uniform way of presenting my predictions, this is the result so far.
I will split up the selected matches per country. First I will name the match with between brackets the place of each time in the league. The team I expects to win will be highlighted in green, if I predict a draw no team will have a color. After this on the same line you can find between brackets the head-2-head information (home team won, draw, away team won). In the next bracket you can find a quotation of a bookmaker. (1 / x / 2)
I hope you find this presentation easy to read if not let me know (via a comment).

But with renewed confidence I present you the bets I will play this weekend:

Belgium: Jupiler League (Oh I love this beer)
Beveren (16) - AA Gent (7) (0,4,6) (3.15/3.3/2.15)
While Beveren is at the bottom of the league, they won 3 of their 5 last matches at home. On the other side Gent didn't loose there 6 last matches. And I believe strongly that they will extend this.
STVV (17) - Lierse (18) (8,1,3) (1.7 / 3.4 / 5)
The head coach of STVV resigned last Wednesday because he felt that not all players believed in him anymore. The players now have to prove themselves. Lierse on the other side gained their second point last weekend. I believe that the basis quality of the players of STVV is better than this of Lierse. I predict an easy victory of STVV.

Germany: Bundesliga
Werder Bremen (1) - Borussia Dortmund (10) (7,3,3) (1.55 / 3.7 /6.25)
This could be the last match for coach Van Marwijk of Dortmund. After a good start of the season, Dortmund is slipping to an unacceptable place within the league. Werder on the other side hasn't lost their for more than 10 games. While statistics then tell us that the first defeat is coming nearer and nearer, I don't believe that it will happen this week.
Hertha Berlin (4) - Bochum (18) (3,3,0) (1.55 / 3.65 / 6.40)
Hertha is playing on a cloud at the moment, while Bochum is struggling with themselves. Hertha did not loose at home this season. Even more they were able of scoring at least 2 times in their last 6 home games. Bochum plays away better than at home but I don't think that they will be able to steal some points away from Hertha, who's objective it is to end at a CL place.

England: Premier League
Blackburn (13) - Manchester United (1) (4,4,5) (6.00 / 3.65 / 1.57)
Manchester had a surprising defeat in the league cup. Man U is eager to win the title again. Winning away at Blackburn is necessary with the knowledge that Chelsea has to play at home against Watford.

Netherlands: Eredivisie
Roda JC (7) - RKC Waalwijk (16) (7,3,3) (1.55 / 3.45 / 6)
Roda lost an important game last week against Groningen, while RKC lost from AZ. During the Cup RKC had to play extra time against Feyenoord, while Roda has an easy game against an amateur team. Roda is playing their best season since long time but after the defeat at Groningen a home win is expected by the board.

Spain: Primera Division
Valencia (5) - Athletic de Bilboa (17) (10,3,0) (1.45 / 3.15 / 3.35)
It is since may from last season that a team was capable of stealing some points in Valencia. An impressive run in the Primera Division. Bilboa did not loose their last 2 visits in Valencia but I don't give them a chance this time.
Barcelona (2) - Real Zaragoza (3) (11,2,1) (1.50 / 3.65 / 7.50)
While this is the clash of the weekend in the Primera Division I don't see how Zaragoza will score in Camp Nou! It is from May last year ago that Barcelona was not capable of scoring in a home game and that was against AC Milan. I predict an easy victory for Barcelona, who gave some star players rest during the cup match.

Now there is the difficult task of creating my combinations. I have selected 8 matches, so I will go for three combination ( 2x3 and 1x2).

My combinations (only the winning teams are mentioned)
AA Gent, Manchester United -> 3.38 pay-out on a 1 euro bet.
Werder, Roda, Valencia ->3.48 pay-out on a 1 euro bet.
Barcelona, Hertha, STVV -> 3.95 pay-out on a 1 euro bet.

Please let me know if you play another combination based on my input. Would appreciate it a lot.

My stats dropped dramatically after tonight!

Pred Won Lost %
Football 14 8 6 57,14286
Tennis 6 5 1 83,33333
Total 20 13 7 65

Good Luck,
Dremeber

Thursday evening football

Readers,

As a special a football combination for tonight.
Chaidara - AEK Athene 15,00 4,00 1,27
Rosenborg - Brann 1,65 3,50 5,15 1X -> 1,14
FC Utrecht - Rijnsburgse Boys 1,08 9,00 16,00
Messina - Inter 4,00 3,00 2,00
Celta Vigo - Alavés 1,47 3,70 7,00
Real Madrid - Ecija Balompie 1,07 8,00 20,00

For once I will use the 1X for Rosenborg - Brann. Brann will certainly not win in Rosenborg, but i consider a draw possible. Let's say that I'm to confident in a 1X bet to leave it out :).

Utrecht, AEK and Real Madrid should have no problems with their opponents. Real Madrid is out on revenge after the scoreless draw in the first leg.
Celta should be capable of winning at home against the number 7 of the segundo division.

I have to admit that the win of Inter is a little bit of a gamble, but that it what it is all about.
This combination would payout 4.91 for a 1 € bet.

Some statistics for the predictions so far:


Predictions Won Loss
%
Football Total 8 5 3
62,50
WTA 6 5 1
83,33
Total 14 10 4
71,43

Proposed 5 combinations of 1 €, and they payed out 6.49€. So for the moment there is a small profit of 1.49€.

Dremeber

Interim result Midweek Football

Some surprises I did not expected :(

Superfund lost at home as Bayern did. Luckily both matches are in the same combination.
My first combination was also a failure cause Feyenoord is playing extra time at Waalwijk and loosing 3-2.

The good news is that Valencia is leading 2-0 at half time, meaning that my third combination still stand. Already ended matches within this combination are Twente, who won against Nijmegen, and Werder, who won away on Nurnberg. This combination pays out 3.19 euros. This means that I won 0.19 euros on my midweek matches. Could be better, could be worse.

If we look at the stats, I predicted 6 out of 9 matches correctly. And 5 out of 5 tennis games.
As predicted Sharapova won against Clijsters and Kuznetsova won against Dementieva. For the moment Hingis leads 1-0 in sets but Petrova is fighting back and leads 2-1 in the second.

Tomorrow the picks for this weekend will be presented! Again I will propose 3 combinations, hopefully with a better profit than this week!

Good luck!
Dremeber

First results

All,


My blog made a good start. For all the 6 matches (3 football and 3 tennis) I predicted the correct winner. So for the moment I have a 100% score.

Some will mumble that I only take easy games for my predictions, but that is not correct. I only take matches where I can give my readers input in which I believe myself. Not everybody will for instance have predicted that Petrova would win against Mauresmo or would have predicted the loss of Nurnberg at home.

Some figures:
If you have played my combination proposed for the WTA, it would have paid-out around 3.30 euros for a 1 euro bet.
My proposed combinations of the football games are not all played, but they are all stil valid.

Today, I will concentrate on the WTA again. Very difficult matches today buet let's give it a try.

Kuznetsova - Dementieva: Dementieva leads 2-1. but the only match this year was won by Kuznetsova and she will do this again today. I believe that Dementieva does not have enough power to beat Kuznetsova. Add to this the fact that Dementieva already played yesterday and lost. On my sportbook, they will pay-out 1.47 euro for a 1 euro bet.
Sharapova - Clijsters: The most difficult predictions for today. Clijsters did only play one tournament, which she won, after a wrist injury and Sharapova has an undefeated streak of more than 15 games. In the Tournament in Hasselt Clijsters played 2 strond matches which will give her confidence, the only advantage Clijsters has is that she didn't have to play yesterday and that due to the injury she had a long rest periode. But with pain in my heart I favour sharapova. She's playing on a cloud at the moment. Head 2 head Clijsters leads 3-1, but the only confrontation this year was one won by Sharapova. The pay-out for Sharapova is 1.40.
Petrova - Hingis: No doubt about this one after I saw Petrova play yesterday. Besides this hingis had a long match yesterday, which she lost against Henin. The pay-out for Petrova is 1.28.
This combination has a possible pay-out of only 2.36.

As you can see most of my combinations have a rather low pay-out. But I consider them all realistic. Suppose that I/you win 5 out of 10 combinations, this is, most of the time, still enough to have to gain a small profit.
Remember that sports betting is no sprint but more like a marathon!

Franky, believe it or not, but it is I!

Good luck,
Dremeber


WTA championship

A small side step today. Besides football I think I have knowledge of Tennis.
Today the WTA championships will start in Madrid. I consider this one of the most existing tournaments within the tour.

The tournament is played in 2 groups, with round robin principle.

The red group:
Henin, Petrova, Hingis, Mauresmo
The yellow group:
Clijsters, Kuznetsova, Dementieva, Sharapova

In the Red group I see Henin and Petrova go to the next round.
In the Yellow group I go for Sharapova and Clijsters.

Matches today
Mauresmo - Petrova:
The number one of the world against number 5. Mauresmo leads 5-2 in the head to head confrontations. If we only look at the matches from this year, Mauresmo leads 2-1. Petrova reached the final of the 3 last tournaments she played in. Mauresmo was not able the reach the semis in her last 2 tournaments. While all the bookmakers favor Mauresmo, I would bet on Petrova.

Sharapova - Dementieva
While there is no easy money in sportsbetting, this one comes really close. Sharapova won the last 2 tournaments she played while Dementieve lost her first match in Zurich against Srebotnik. Head 2 head Sharapova leads 5-2.

Henin - Hingis
No idea. Hingis leads head 2 head with 2-1. But Henin claims to be fit and can win against everybody in the tour. For this match you may forget the head 2 head statistics cause the 2 matches Hingis won are from 2000. Cause I'm from Belgium myself I favor Henin.

This combination has for the moment a Pay-out of 3,30 euro. But I will not play it, if everyone else does, please let me know the pay-out.

Gr,
Dremeber

First tips

Hi world,

I can be contacted on: dremeber at yahoo.co.uk

Started with sports betting again. After being fed up with playing Texas Holdem Poker I had still 7 euros on my account. In stead of trowing it away on the Poker tables, I decided to trow some money on sports betting.

So a month and a half ago I started with my 7 euros, which are now 53 euros. I try to restrict my bets to the sport, which I think I know. But this is sometimes difficult, especially after a bad streak.
Remember that you will always have good streaks and bad streaks. The art is to make the good streaks so good that you still have a profit after a bad streak.

First let's check general gambling rules:
1 - Don't play with the money you need.
2 - Play for fun.
3 - Never place a bet when you have been drinking!!!!
4 - Never include a bet in multiple bets at the same time with the same result.

While most people only gamble on one game within a bet, I like combination. I will rarly bet on only one game because most of the time I find the pay-outs to low.

Before placing a bet, find information about the team or the players!

Most of the time I will place 3 bets of 1 euro each. This gives my at least 50 bets. Most of my combination bets covers 3 or 4 games. Remember how more game how higher the risk.

I also try to leave out the easy bets with small pay-outs.

Because this week there are midweek games I selected the following games. The quotations are from unibet, where I place my bets. Because I play for fun, I don't waste time about comparing odds on different site.

Midweek Bundesliga picks:
  • Nurnberg - Werder Bremen: While Nurnberg always plays strong in home game I think that Werder will win. They are motivated after the draw last weekend. Pay-out at the moment of writing is 1,80.
  • VfB Stuttgart - HSV: After so many injuries another one can be added to the list. Sorin is out for a least one month, meaning that almost the complete defense is injured or just comming back from one. Stuttgart has a good home reputation this season. A win for Stuttgart is my bet, pay-out is 1,75.
  • Bayern Munich - Hannover 96: This should be an easy victory for Bayern. The last four years Hannover was not capable of winning in Munich. This year it will not be different. Pay-out is 1,20 euros.
Midweek Netherlands Cup
  • RBC Rosendaal - Eindhoven: Easy win for RBC, the current leader in the second division, against an anonymous Eindhoven. Pay-out: 1,25 euros.
  • FC Twente - NEC Nijmegen: A few weeks ago, Twente won with 4-0. Nijmegen has difficulties away, my money will be placed on Twente.
  • RKC Waalwijk - Feyenoord: Feyenoord is recovering from a disastrous start in the competition, they will continue their winnings against RKC. Pay-out 1,65.
Midweek Austria Cup
  • FC Superfund - FC Wacker Tirol: Superfund currently on the second place will win against Tirol, currently third. Tirol scores to few goals away to win or even draw this match.
Spain Copa del rey:
  • Valencia - Portuense: The first leg was won by Valencia with 1-2, they will also win at home.
So, now I have pick my games which will be used to make my three combination.
Combination 1:
  • Werder
  • FC Twente
  • Valencia
    • Possible Pay-out: 3.19
Combination 2:
  • Bayern
  • RBC Roosendaal
  • FC Superfund
    • Possible Pay-out: 2,55
Combination 3:
  • VfB Stuttgart
  • Feyenoord
    • Possible Pay-out: 2,89
Let's hope.
My account has now 53 euro, with for 6.03 euros on bets.
- 0.30 euros on supertoto
- 3 euros on the bets described above
- 1 euro, which will pay-out 2,99 if Metz can win their game against Amiens (with 7 minutes left, they are leading 1-0)
- 1,73 euro on a bet with Metz (stupid me), Juventus and Sporting (won 3-0 against Braga).

See u tomorrow with some intermediate results.

Haste Luego,
Dremeber

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