Weekend 24-26/11/2006

I cannot complain about the midweek bets although it could be better. I won 2 of my 4 combinations. Yesterday I went to Club Brugge again Dinamo Bucaresti. Great game with a 1-1 result giving Brugge less than they deserved.

My advice for this weekend. Hoping to improve my bankroll, stats and your faith in my advice.


A special low risk bet for the games on Friday evening:

Schalke 04 (1)Bochum (16) (1.37, 4.25, 9.00) (4/2/2)
The proud leader of the Bundesliga may kick off Matchday 14 at home against VF Bochum. Schalke is still undefeated at home this season and only allowed a draw against Bayern Munich. Last week bochum surprised everybody, including themselves, by winning at home against Eintracht Frankfurt. But I don’t see how they will be capable of returning home with a point or even a victory. Schalke 04 will win easily.

FC Twente (5) – Vitesse (12) (1.50, 3.60, 6.25) (5/5/4)
Twente still has to loose at home this season while Vitesse only has one away victory against Sparta Rotterdam. But Twente at home is incredible strong this season; this is proved by the 7-1 victory against FC Groningen. This home game will again result in a victory for the home team.

This combination (with a very low risk) pays out 2.06€.

My regular weekend bets.

Jupiler league
STVV (16) – Cercle Brugge (13) (2.00, 3.30, 3.55) (0/4/1)
STVV presented their new head coach in the beginning of the week (Henk Houwaert). STVV won last week at Standard. It was a deserved victory although the first goal of STVV was pure luck. In the previous season STVV was known for the home reputation, after 2 wins in a row it is time to bring this old reputation back to life. For their 6 away games, Cercle only won one (at Zulte Waregem). Although Cercle always looses away with only one goal difference, I don’t see them stealing a point at STVV.

Bundesliga
Werder Bremen (2) – Arminia Bielefeld (6) (1.42, 4.00, 8.00) (5/1/0)
In the Champions League Werder won 1-0 against Chelsea, which is an indication how strong they are at home. Bielefeld stats away are 1 win, 3 draws and 2 games lost. Bremen won 3 games at home, lost 2 and drew 1. While the stats indicate that a draw is perfectly possible, I favor Werder for a small victory.

Calcio

Lazio (10) – Ascoli (17) (1.45, 3.65, 9.25) (1/0/0)
Ascoli only was gained 2 points away from home, while Lazio only lost one of their home games. I favor Lazio because they have a stronger team then Ascoli, they have the home advantage and they have won their last 2 games. Also it is from half September ago that Lazio lost a home game and Ascoli will not break this streak.

Eredivisie
FC Groningen (6) – ADO Den Haag (18) (1.30, 4.50, 9.00) (4/0/0)
All previous encounters were won by Groningen and they will do so again this weekend. Last home game Groningen won 4-1 against Willem II. Groningen scored an impressive 18 goals in their 6 home games while ADO only scored three away goals from 6 matches this season. ADO has appointed a new head coach this weekend as a result the players will be extra motivated to fight for their place within the team but this will not be enough. I predict an easy victory of Groningen.

Primera Divsion
Barcalona (1) – Villareal (8) (1.40, 4.15, 8.35) (3/2/2)
As you can see from the Head2Head stats Barca always has it difficult against Villareal at home. But the last victory of Villareal is from the season 2000/2001. The last 2 home games were easy wins for Barca and this weekend also will be the same.

Premier League
Liverpool (10)Manchester City (12) (1.45, 3.85, 8.00) (7/0/1)
The last 3 encounters were close games but each time won by Liverpool with a one goal difference. Liverpool won its last 5 home games proving their strength at home. The 10th place as a result a sloppy play away from home. City on the other hand was not capable of winning its last 6 away games. My conclusion from this is a victory for Liverpool.

My combinations for this weekend:
Combo 1: Werder, Lazio and Barcelona : possible pay-out 2.88€
Combo 2: Liverpool, FC Groningen and STVV: possible pay-out 3.77€

Good luck,
European Sports Betting

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