Weekend 17-19/11/2006

With again renewed confidence I will post my bets for this weekend again. While my percentage for the single matches is not so bad, my combinations are. Let's see if we can change this this weekend.

Jupiler league
Lierse SK - Germinal Beerschot (3.70, 3.30, 1.95) (7/9/2)
Don't let the h2h foul you. Lierse is currently last within the Jupiler League with only 2 points out of 12 games. In the beginning of this week Lierse fired their Coach Trost, who was probably the most motivated coach for the first division. GBA on the other hand is figthing back after a bad streak with as deepest point the elimination against KV Mechelen in the Cup. I strongly favour GBA.

Ligue 1
Marseille(8) - Valenciennes(15) (1.45, 3.80, 8.00) (-)
Valenciennes lost their last 6 games away and were only capable of scoring 3 times in those 6 games. Marseille won 4 of their 6 home games, the only lost against Lyon (1) and Lorient (9), which were their last two home games. So they defenitly need to win this one and they will. They the stats in their favour.
Lens(3) - Nantes(18) (1.60, 3.40, 6.25) (4/4/5)
Very strange odds! Lens third in the competition pays-out 1.60 if they win against Nantes, which are 18th. Nantes did not win any away game this season and I don't see how they will win this one or even get a draw. The odds are probably so high because Nantes got 5 points out of their last 3 games. Neverless Lens will win easy in my opinion.

Empoli(8) - AC Milan(16) (6.00, 3.25, 1.67) (0,2,3)
While Empoli is playing a good season, I don't fancy their stats for home games. They won once, draw 3 times and lost once. Milan currently has 7 points after their punisment of 8 points. if AC Milan does not win, a crisis is the correct word for the team. But I don't see this happen.

Mainz 05(18) - Hamburger SV(15) (2.70, 3.25, 2.50) (1/0/1)
The number last against the number 15. Hamburger SV gave coach Doll credit until New Year. The caption Vander Vart indicated that the teams still have fait in Doll, Now it is time to prove it in this 6 points game. Mainz at home is dramatic this season, they lost their last 3 games.

Ajax(2) - FC Twente(4) (1.40, 4.00, 7.25) (11/2/0)
Ajax lost last week against PSV, while Twente won in against Groningen with 7(seven)-1. Twente will come tot he Arena with very high hopes on at least one point, while Ajax is motivated to erase the defeat against PSV. If this match is played 100 times, Ajax will win 65, 25 will end in a draw and in 10 games Twente will win. Good enough to place my bet on ajax.
NEC(13) - Sparta (17) (1.60, 3.50, 5.20) (3/4/2)
Sparta this year is not capable of playing away, from their 6 away games, they were only capable of one taking a point back to Rotterdam. Also they got 18 goals against and only scored 4 times. (An average of 3 goals per game, which makes it difficult to win or draw). Nec only won 2 games of their 6 home games and have a goal difference at home form 0 (5-5).

Premier League
Chelsea(2) - West Ham(16) (1.20,5.60,16) (7/1/4)
Should be an easy victory for Chelsea, who won 5 out of their 6 last home games with a goal difference of =10. West Ham on the other side only got one point out of their 6 away games with a goal difference of -7. So an easy win for Chelsea in expected. Normally I would never have picked this game, but I have to make a winning combination.

My combinations for this weekend:
Combo 1: Lens , Ajax and Chelsea -> possible pay-out 2.68€
Combo 2: Nec, Marseille and GBA -> possible pay-out 4.52€
Combo 3: AC Milan and Hamburger SV -> possible pay-out 4.17€

Good luck and make the correct choices.
European Sports Betting

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