Full Cover Betting: 1X2

Showing posts with label 1X2. Show all posts

Predictions Bundesliga Round 16, Premier League Round 17

Prediction Bundesliga: Round 16

Home	Away	1X2	BTTS	Over/Under 2.5	Correct Score	Result
Wolfsburg	RB Leipzig	X	Yes	Under	1-1	1-1
Freiburg	M'gladbach	X	Yes	Under	1-1	1-0
Hamburg	Ein Frankfurt	X	No	Under	0-0	1-2
Mainz	Dortmund	2	Yes	Over	1-2	0-2
Hoffenheim	Stuttgart	1	No	Under	2-0	1-0
Leverkusen	Werder Bremen	1	No	Under	1-0	1-0
Bayern Munich	FC Koln	1	No	Over	4-0	1-0
Hertha	Hannover	X	Yes	Under	1-1	3-1
Schalke 04	Augsburg	X	Yes	Under	1-1	3-2

SOURCE: Full Cover Betting

Prediction Premier League: Round 17

Home	Away	1X2	BTTS	Over/Under 2.5	Correct Score	Result
Burnley	Stoke	1	No	Under	1-0	1-0
Crystal Palace	Watford	2	Yes	Over	1-2	2-1
Huddersfield	Chelsea	2	No	Under	0-1	1-3
Newcastle	Everton	1	No	Under	1-0	0-1
Southampton	Leicester	X	Yes	Under	1-1	1-4
Swansea	Man City	2	No	Under	0-2	0-4
Liverpool	West Brom	1	No	Under	1-0	0-0
Man United	Bournemouth	1	No	Under	2-0	1-0
Tottenham	Brighton	1	No	Under	1-0	2-0
West Ham	Arsenal	X	Yes	Under	1-1	0-0

SOURCE: Full Cover Betting

Betting tips round 6: Jupiler Pro League Play-offs

Like posted in the previous post there are 5 more round, to end the season in green figures.
For the moment the 4 O/U acca is assured of a profit.

For this weekend the following bets should deliver a profit for me.
In total 36 bets are placed, with a total ante of 36,35 units. Would be really nice in the Yankee correct score would come in, cause the potential pay-out is 3919 units.

So let's start with the 1X2 bets for this weekend:
8 bets, hoping on a lot of upsets.

Round	Home	Away	Type	Ante	Odds	Bet	Result	G/F	Pay-out	P/L
SP6	Genk	Kortrijk	1X2	1	1,35	1	1	G	1,35	0,35
SP6	Lokeren	Eupen	1X2	1	3,05	2	1	F	0	-1
SP6	Waasland	St Truiden	1X2	1	2,45	1	2	F	0	-1
SP6	Lierse	Mechelen	1X2	1	3	1	x	F	0	-1
SP6	Gent	Anderlecht	1X2	1	2,7	2	X	F	0	-1
SP6	Oostende	Charleroi	1X2	1	4,2	2	1	F	0	-1
SP6	Mouscron	Roeselare	1X2	1	4,3	2	1	F	0	-1
SP6	Club Brugge	Waregem	1X2	1	1,45	1	1	G	1,45	0,45

In the Over/Under 2.5 market, 7 bets. Almost all over 2.5 bets.

Round	Home	Away	Type	Ante	Odds	Bet	Result	G/F	Pay-out	P/L
SP6	Standard	Union	O/U	1	1,57	O	O	G	1,57	0,57
SP6	Lokeren	Eupen	O/U	1	1,74	O	O	G	1,74	0,74
SP6	Waasland	St Truiden	O/U	1	2,02	O	U	F	0	-1
SP6	Gent	Anderlecht	O/U	1	1,85	O	U	F	0	-1
SP6	Oostende	Charleroi	O/U	1	1,91	U	U	G	1,91	0,91
SP6	Mouscron	Roeselare	O/U	1	1,69	O	U	F	0	-1
SP6	Club Brugge	Waregem	O/U	1	1,7	O	O	G	1,7	0,7

In the BTTS market, we expect a lot of clean sheets:

Round	Home	Away	Type	Ante	Odds	Bet	Result	G/F	Pay-out	P/L
SP6	Standard	Union	BTTS	1	2,25	N	J	F	0	-1
SP6	Genk	Kortrijk	BTTS	1	2,04	N	N	G	2,04	1,04
SP6	Lokeren	Eupen	BTTS	1	2,25	N	J	F	0	-1
SP6	Waasland	St Truiden	BTTS	1	2,02	N	N	G	2,02	1,02
SP6	Lierse	Mechelen	BTTS	1	1,7	J	N	F	0	-1
SP6	Oostende	Charleroi	BTTS	1	2	N	N	G	2	1
SP6	Mouscron	Roeselare	BTTS	1	1,65	J	N	F	0	-1
SP6	Club Brugge	Waregem	BTTS	1	1,85	J	J	G	1,85	0,85

Correct score bets:

Round	Home	Away	Type	Ante	Odds	Bet	Result	G/F	Pay-out	P/L
SP6	Standard	Union	CS	1	28	0-2	3-1	F	0	-1
SP6	Genk	Kortrijk	CS	1	8,5	2-0	3-0	F	0	-1
SP6	Lokeren	Eupen	CS	1	10	1-0	4-1	F	0	-1
SP6	Waasland	St Truiden	CS	1	8,5	1-0	0-1	F	0	-1
SP6	Lierse	Mechelen	CS	1	7	1-1	0-0	F	0	-1
SP6	Gent	Anderlecht	CS	1	7	1-1	0-0	F	0	-1
SP6	Oostende	Charleroi	CS	1	8	1-0	1-0	G	8	7
SP6	Mouscron	Roeselare	CS	1	14	1-2	1-0	F	0	-1
SP6	Club Brugge	Waregem	CS	1	8,5	2-1	2-1	G	8,5	7,5

Finally the Acca's:

Round	Type	Ante	Odds	Bet	P/L
SP6	4 1X2	1	9,85	J	-1
SP6	4 BTS	1	11,44	J	-1
SP6	4 O/U	1,25	9,38	J	-1,25
SP6	Yankee CS	1,1		J	-1,1

We are going for a third profitable round in a row!

Good luck,
Dremeber

Poisson pick round 2 of the Jupiler Pro League Play-offs

Hi all,

Today I will present you the poisson picks for the second play-off round of the Jupiler Pro League.
6 more bets that last week. So, there is a lot at stake. I will be happy, when the results are in line with the first test run.
So 30 bets, good for an ante of 30,1 units.

6 correct score bets
8 1X2 bets
6 BTS (BTTS) bets
6 Over/under 2.5 bets
And then last but not least 4 acca's.

I'm still trying to figure out which is the best lay-out the put the advice and picks on the site. This week I will place them sorted out by bet type.

6 correct score bets:

Round	Home	Away	Type	Ante	Odds	Bet	Result	G/F	Pay-out	P/L
SP2	Oostende	Waregem	CS	1	9	2-1			0	-1
SP2	Club Brugge	Charleroi	CS	1	8	1-0			0	-1
SP2	Lokeren	Kortrijk	CS	1	9	0-0			0	-1
SP2	Standard	STVV	CS	1	9	2-0			0	-1
SP2	Anderlecht	Gent	CS	1	9,5	2-0			0	-1
SP2	Mouscron	Eupen	CS	1	6,75	1-1			0	-1

8 1X2 bets:

Round	Home	Away	Type	Ante	Odds	Bet	Result	G/F	Pay-out	P/L
SP2	Oostende	Waregem	1X2	1	3,55	2			0	-1
SP2	Club Brugge	Charleroi	1X2	1	1,46	1			0	-1
SP2	Roeselare	Genk	1X2	1	1,46	2			0	-1
SP2	Lokeren	Kortrijk	1X2	1	4	2			0	-1
SP2	Standard	STVV	1X2	1	1,65	1			0	-1
SP2	Anderlecht	Gent	1X2	1	1,88	1			0	-1
SP2	Mechelen	Lierse	1X2	1	3,8	X			0	-1
SP2	Mouscron	Eupen	1X2	1	2,35	1			0	-1

6 BTTS (BTS) bets:

Round	Home	Away	Type	Ante	Odds	Bet	Result	G/F	Pay-out	P/L
SP2	Oostende	Waregem	BTS	1	1,62	J			0	-1
SP2	Club Brugge	Charleroi	BTS	1	1,91	N			0	-1
SP2	Lokeren	Kortrijk	BTS	1	1,89	N			0	-1
SP2	Standard	STVV	BTS	1	1,96	N			0	-1
SP2	Anderlecht	Gent	BTS	1	1,98	N			0	-1
SP2	Mouscron	Eupen	BTS	1	1,68	J			0	-1

6 Over/Under 2.5 bets:

Round	Home	Away	Type	Ante	Odds	Bet	Result	G/F	Pay-out	P/L
SP2	Oostende	Waregem	O/U	1	1,8	O			0	-1
SP2	Club Brugge	Charleroi	O/U	1	2,25	U			0	-1
SP2	Roeselare	Genk	O/U	1	2,32	U			0	-1
SP2	Lokeren	Kortrijk	O/U	1	2,02	O			0	-1
SP2	Standard	STVV	O/U	1	2,02	U			0	-1
SP2	Mechelen	Lierse	O/U	1	1,85	O			0	-1

4 Acca's:

Round	Home	Away	Type	Ante	Odds	Bet	Result	G/F	Pay-out	P/L
SP2			Yankee CS	1,1	694,14	J			0	-1,1
SP2			4 1X2	1	6,61	J			0	-1
SP2			4 BTS	1	10,19	J			0	-1
SP2			4 O/U	1	15,47	J			0	-1

10 more hours to the start of Round 2 of the JPL Play-offs.

Good luck,

Dremeber

Results of the First Run of the Poisson Model

I did make a profit with the model. So that was good.

The only market where I didn’t produce a profit was the 1X2 market. To be honest I did expect this due to the big number of draws which were predicted.

The results in table format:

	SP1
	# Ante	# Pay-out	P/L
CS	6	7,5	1,5
1X2	7	5,5	-1,5
BTS	3	3,52	0,52
O/U	4	5,51	1,51

This reflects a total ROI of 10.15% and a profit of 2.03 units.

But I also did create four accumulators based on the proposed bets and handpicked bets. This way I’m looking for a betting scheme which can increase the profit (faster). Also I don’t have to look for value bets here, so I can use predictions which didn’t made the cut based on the value betting principle.

In this market acca I did very well. Only one winning ticket

The 4 BTTS acca tickets was a winner, good for a pay-out of 9.60 units.

The 4 O/U 2.5 acca failed on the match Lierse – Standard where I did predict an over.

The 1X2 was a disaster with only 2 out of 4 correct.

The CS Yankee is a shot in the dark and did produce only 1 correct out of 4.

	SP1
	# Ante	# Pay-out	P/L
Yankee CS	1,1	0	-1,1
4 BTS	1	9,6	8,6
4 1X2	1	0	-1
4 O/U	1	0	-1

Good enough for a profit of 5,5 units and a ROI of 134,15%.

Overall, the poisson model did result into a profit of 7.53 units and a ROI of 31.24%.

I would be happy if the result for matchday 2 of the Jupiler Pro League Play-offs would be in the same range.

I will try to post my predictions for the next round on Wednesday!

Cheers,

Dremeber