I did make a profit with the model. So that
was good.
The only market where I didn’t produce a
profit was the 1X2 market. To be honest I did expect this due to the big number
of draws which were predicted.
The results in table format:
SP1
|
|||
# Ante
|
# Pay-out
|
P/L
|
|
CS
|
6
|
7,5
|
1,5
|
1X2
|
7
|
5,5
|
-1,5
|
BTS
|
3
|
3,52
|
0,52
|
O/U
|
4
|
5,51
|
1,51
|
This reflects a total ROI of 10.15% and a
profit of 2.03 units.
But I also did create four accumulators
based on the proposed bets and handpicked bets. This way I’m looking for a
betting scheme which can increase the profit (faster). Also I don’t have to
look for value bets here, so I can use predictions which didn’t made the cut
based on the value betting principle.
In this market acca I did very well. Only
one winning ticket
The 4 BTTS acca tickets was a winner, good
for a pay-out of 9.60 units.
The 4 O/U 2.5 acca failed on the match
Lierse – Standard where I did predict an over.
The 1X2 was a disaster with only 2 out of 4
correct.
The CS Yankee is a shot in the dark and did
produce only 1 correct out of 4.
SP1
|
|||
# Ante
|
# Pay-out
|
P/L
|
|
Yankee CS
|
1,1
|
0
|
-1,1
|
4 BTS
|
1
|
9,6
|
8,6
|
4 1X2
|
1
|
0
|
-1
|
4 O/U
|
1
|
0
|
-1
|
Good enough for a profit of 5,5 units and a
ROI of 134,15%.
Overall, the poisson model did result into
a profit of 7.53 units and a ROI of 31.24%.
I would be happy if the result for matchday
2 of the Jupiler Pro League Play-offs would be in the same range.
I will try to post my predictions for the
next round on Wednesday!
Cheers,
Dremeber
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